2003 Valencian regional election

2003 Valencian regional election
All 89 seats in the Corts Valencianes; 45 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Registered	3,423,098 1.8%
Turnout	2,447,224 (71.5%); 3.7 pp
	Election result by constituency
President before election; José Luis Olivas; PP	Elected President ; Francisco Camps; PP

The 2003 Valencian regional election was held on Sunday, 25 May 2003, to elect the 6th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 89 seats in the Corts were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Despite growing discontent with the nationwide José María Aznar's government, the People's Party (PP) was able to comfortably retain its absolute majority in the Corts, losing only one seat compared to 1999, which was gained by the Agreement (Entesa) alliance led by United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV). The Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE), while increasing its vote share in two percentage points compared to its 1999 result, failed to translate it into any new seats. Valencian Union (UV), the former PP coalition partner during the first Zaplana government (1995–1999), continued its decline into irrelevance and fell below 3%, depriving it of any possibility of overcoming the five percent threshold to enter the Corts.

Francisco Camps became the new president of the Valencian Government succeeding José Luis Olivas, who had replaced Eduardo Zaplana in 2002 after the latter was named Labour and Social Affairs minister in Aznar's second cabinet.

Overview

Electoral system

The Corts Valencianes were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Valencian autonomous community, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Valencian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.^[1]

Voting for the Corts was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 89 members of the Corts Valencianes were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 29 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other).^[1]^[2]

Election date

The term of the Corts Valencianes expired four years after the date of their previous election, with elections to the Corts being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 13 June 1999, setting the election date for the Corts on Sunday, 25 May 2003.^[1]^[2]^[3]

The Corts Valencianes could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament.^[1]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.^[2]^[3]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Votes (%)	Seats	Gov.	Ref.
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Francisco Camps	Conservatism Christian democracy	47.88%	49	Y
	PSPV–PSOE	List Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE)		Joan Ignasi Pla	Social democracy	33.91%	35	N
	Entesa	List United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) The Greens (EV/LV) Valencian Left (EV)		Joan Ribó	Valencian nationalism Socialism Green politics	6.05%	5	N
	BNV–EV	List Valencian Nationalist Bloc (BNV) Green Left (EV)		Pere Mayor	Valencian nationalism Eco-socialism Green politics	4.53%	0	N

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 45 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout						Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout						Lead

2003 regional election	25 May 2003	—	71.5	47.2 48	36.0 35	6.4 6	3.0 0	4.7 0	11.2

Sigma Dos/Antena 3^{[p 1]}	25 May 2003	?	?	? 46/49	? 34/37	? 6	–	–	?
Ipsos–Eco/RTVE^{[p 2]}	25 May 2003	?	?	? 46/48	? 35/37	? 4/6	–	–	?
Insight/La Razón^{[p 3]}	19 May 2003	?	?	47.6 47/50	? 33/37	? 4/5	–	–	?
Opina/El País^{[p 4]}	18 May 2003	?	?	46.0 46/47	38.0 38	6.0 4/5	3.0 0	3.0 0	8.0
GES/PSPV^{[p 5]}	9–15 May 2003	2,000	72.6	44.0 43/44	39.9 40/41	6.7 5	3.9 0	4.6 0	4.1
Investratègia/Bloc–EV^{[p 6]}	9–11 May 2003	1,500	68.8	45.5 44/47	37.5 33/36	6.5 4/5	3.2 0	5.6 4/5	8.0
CIS^{[p 7]}^{[p 8]}	22 Mar–28 Apr 2003	2,096	80.0	41.9 44	37.9 39	7.4 6	3.9 0	4.1 0	4.0
Vox Pública/El Periódico^{[p 9]}^{[p 10]}^{[p 11]}	25–27 Apr 2003	800	?	45.0– 46.0 45/48	36.5– 37.5 35/39	5.0– 6.0 3/5	–	4.5– 5.5 0/4	8.5
Insight/PP^{[p 12]}	9–18 Dec 2002	1,200	?	51.1 49/52	34.3 34/36	6.1 3/4	3.9 0	3.9 0	16.8
GES/PSPV^{[p 13]}	15–23 Oct 2002	3,000	?	44.9 44	40.2 40	5.7 5	3.8 0	3.9 0	4.7
CIS^{[p 14]}^{[p 15]}^{[p 16]}	9 Sep–9 Oct 2002	730	76.6	47.7	34.1	6.7	–	–	13.6
GES/PSPV^{[p 17]}	10 Dec–25 Apr 2002	27,000	?	46.1 46	37.8 38	5.9 5	–	3.3 0	8.3
GES/PSPV^{[p 18]}	10 Jan–10 Feb 2002	10,500	?	47.5 47	38.4 38	5.2 4	3.4 0	3.5 0	9.1
Insight/PP^{[p 19]}	26 Dec–10 Jan 2002	900	?	52.1 52/53	33.1 31/33	5.4 4/5	1.7 0	3.6 0	19.0
Insight/PP^{[p 20]}	1–8 Jul 2000	1,200	?	51.8 49/55	31.0 29/32	5.8 4/5	3.9 0	5.0 0/4	20.8
2000 general election	12 Mar 2000	—	72.7	52.1 (52)	34.0 (34)	5.8 (3)	2.4 (0)	2.4 (0)	18.1
Insight/PP^{[p 21]}	3 Jan 2000	?	?	52.8	30.3	–	–	–	22.5

1999 regional election	13 Jun 1999	—	67.8	47.9 49	33.9 35	6.1 5	4.7 0	4.5 0	14.0

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						?	N	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						?	N	Lead

2003 regional election	25 May 2003	—	33.9	25.8	4.6	2.1	3.4	—	27.7	8.1

CIS^{[p 7]}	22 Mar–28 Apr 2003	2,096	27.3	25.8	4.7	1.6	2.3	29.6	4.4	1.5
CIS^{[p 14]}	9 Sep–9 Oct 2002	730	31.6	22.6	4.0	–	–	25.4	9.9	9.0
2000 general election	12 Mar 2000	—	38.0	24.8	4.2	1.7	1.8	—	26.6	13.2

1999 regional election	13 Jun 1999	—	32.1	22.7	4.1	3.1	3.0	—	32.0	9.4

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None	?	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None	?	Lead
CIS^{[p 7]}	22 Mar–28 Apr 2003	2,096	34.5	36.1	4.0	2.0	2.3	1.6	19.4	1.6

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None	?	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None	?	Lead
CIS^{[p 7]}	22 Mar–28 Apr 2003	2,096	48.4	26.8	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	24.4	21.6

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Valencian Government.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Camps PP	Pla PSPV	Ribó EUPV	Chiquillo UV	Mayor Bloc
CIS^{[p 7]}	22 Mar–28 Apr 2003	2,096	21.2	18.6	2.9	1.0	1.7	4.6	50.0	2.6

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 25 May 2003 Corts Valencianes election results →
Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats

Parties and alliances		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,146,780	47.17	–0.71	48	–1
	Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE)	874,288	35.96	+2.05	35	±0
	United Left–The Greens–Valencian Left: The Agreement (L'Entesa)	154,494	6.35	+0.30	6	+1

	Valencian Nationalist Bloc–Green Left (Bloc–EV)	114,011	4.69	+0.16	0	±0
	Union–Valencian Union (UV)	72,557	2.98	–1.70	0	±0
	Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV)	7,609	0.31	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	3,884	0.16	New	0	±0
	Democratic and Social Centre (CDS)	3,189	0.13	±0.00	0	±0
	Regional Party of the Valencian Community (PRCV)	2,868	0.12	New	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	2,747	0.11	+0.01	0	±0
	Spain 2000 (E–2000)	2,650	0.11	New	0	±0
	Federal Republican Party (PRF)	2,545	0.10	+0.03	0	±0
	Authentic Phalanx (FA)	2,332	0.10	New	0	±0
	Family and Life Party (PFyV)	1,690	0.07	New	0	±0
	Another Democracy is Possible (ODeP)	1,156	0.05	New	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	798	0.03	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		37,805	1.55	±0.00

Total		2,431,403			89	±0

Valid votes		2,431,403	99.35	–0.06
Invalid votes		15,821	0.65	+0.06
Votes cast / turnout		2,447,224	71.49	+3.68
Abstentions		975,874	28.51	–3.68
Registered voters		3,423,098

Sources^[4]^[5]^[6]

Popular vote

PP			47.17%
PSPV–PSOE			35.96%
L'Entesa			6.35%
Bloc–EV			4.69%
UV			2.98%
Others			1.29%
Blank ballots			1.55%

Seats

PP			53.93%
PSPV–PSOE			39.33%
L'Entesa			6.74%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PP		PSPV		L'Entesa

	%	S	%	S	%	S
Alicante	48.3	16	37.2	12	5.9	2
Castellón	48.1	13	36.5	9	4.4	1
Valencia	46.3	19	35.1	14	7.0	3
Total	47.2	48	36.0	35	6.4	6

Sources^[5]^[6]

Aftermath

Government formation

Candidate		Ballot →		18 June 2003
Investiture
Candidate		Required majority →		45 out of 89
	Francisco Camps (PP)		Yes • PP (48)	48 / 89	Y
			No • PSPV (34) • L'Entesa (6)	40 / 89
			Absentees	0 / 89
			Abstentions • PSPV (1)	0 / 89
	Joan Ignasi Pla (PSPV)	Cancelled
	Joan Ribó (L'Entesa)	Cancelled
Sources^[6]

2006 motion of no confidence

Ballot →		4 October 2006
Motion of no confidence Joan Ignasi Pla (PSPV)
Required majority →		45 out of 89 N
	Yes • PSPV (35)	35 / 89
	No • PP (47)	47 / 89
	Abstentions • L'Entesa (6) • CVa (1)	7 / 89
	Absentees	0 / 89
Sources^[6]

References

Opinion poll sources

^ "El sondeo de Sigma Dos determina una lucha codo a codo entre populares y socialistas en Madrid". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019. Retrieved 19 May 2019.
^ "Sondeo a pie de urna de Ipsos Eco Consulting para TVE". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 7 December 2017. Retrieved 11 December 2017.
^ "La 'batalla' de Madrid, la más reñida en los comicios del 25-M". El Mundo (in Spanish). 20 May 2003.
^ "El PP mantiene su poder autonómico en Valencia". El País (in Spanish). 18 May 2003.
^ "Unas elecciones abiertas, según el PSPV". El País (in Spanish). 17 May 2003.
^ "Una encuesta del Bloc otorga a los nacionalistas de 4 a 5 escaños en las Cortes". El País (in Spanish). 16 May 2003.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2003. CA Valenciana (Estudio nº 2491. Marzo-Abril 2003)". CIS (in Spanish). 17 May 2003.
^ "La guerra pasa factura electoral al PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 18 May 2003.
^ "Comunidad Valenciana". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 5 May 2003. Archived from the original on 9 May 2003.
^ "Los valencianos mantienen su apoyo al PP tras irse Zaplana". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 5 May 2003.
^ "VOX PUBLICA". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 5 May 2003.
^ "Un sondeo del PP le otorga la mayoría absoluta con más diputados". El País (in Spanish). 12 January 2003.
^ "Una encuesta del PSPV da mayoría a la izquierda en las autonómicas". El País (in Spanish). 27 October 2002.
^ ^a ^b "Instituciones y autonomías, II. CA Valenciana (Estudio nº 2455. Septiembre-Octubre 2002)". CIS (in Spanish). 19 November 2002.
^ "El PP, partido más votado en diez Comunidades Autónomas" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 November 2002.
^ "El PP ganaría las autonómicas en diez Comunidades y el PSOE en cuatro, según el CIS". ABC (in Spanish). 20 November 2002.
^ "Una encuesta del PSPV dice que la diferencia respecto del PP se sitúa ahora en 8 puntos". El País (in Spanish). 12 May 2002.
^ "Una encuesta del PSPV reduce a 9 puntos su distancia con el PP". El País (in Spanish). 24 February 2002.
^ "Un sondeo del PP amplía su mayoría absoluta y revela que baja el PSPV". El País (in Spanish). 10 February 2002.
^ "El PP se atribuye un 51,8% de apoyo en la Comunidad". El País (in Spanish). 25 July 2000.
^ "Un PP hegemónico". El País (in Spanish). 3 January 2000.

Other

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Ley Orgánica 5/1982, de 1 de julio, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Valenciana (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 1 July 1982. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
^ ^a ^b ^c Ley 1/1987, de 31 de marzo, Electoral Valenciana (Law 2) (in Spanish). 31 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
^ ^a ^b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
^ "Electoral Results. Electoral Data - Regional Election: 2003". www.cortsvalencianes.es (in Spanish). Valencian Government. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
^ ^a ^b "Corts Valencianes election results, 25 May 2003" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of the Valencian Community. 12 August 2003. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Eleccions a les Corts Valencianes (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 September 2017.

[4] "El sondeo de Sigma Dos determina una lucha codo a codo entre populares y socialistas en Madrid". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019. Retrieved 19 May 2019.

[5] "Sondeo a pie de urna de Ipsos Eco Consulting para TVE". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 7 December 2017. Retrieved 11 December 2017.

[6] "La 'batalla' de Madrid, la más reñida en los comicios del 25-M". El Mundo (in Spanish). 20 May 2003.

[7] "El PP mantiene su poder autonómico en Valencia". El País (in Spanish). 18 May 2003.

[8] "Unas elecciones abiertas, según el PSPV". El País (in Spanish). 17 May 2003.

[9] "Una encuesta del Bloc otorga a los nacionalistas de 4 a 5 escaños en las Cortes". El País (in Spanish). 16 May 2003.

[CISApr03-10] "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2003. CA Valenciana (Estudio nº 2491. Marzo-Abril 2003)". CIS (in Spanish). 17 May 2003.

[11] "La guerra pasa factura electoral al PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 18 May 2003.

[12] "Comunidad Valenciana". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 5 May 2003. Archived from the original on 9 May 2003.

[13] "Los valencianos mantienen su apoyo al PP tras irse Zaplana". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 5 May 2003.

[14] "VOX PUBLICA". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 5 May 2003.

[15] "Un sondeo del PP le otorga la mayoría absoluta con más diputados". El País (in Spanish). 12 January 2003.

[16] "Una encuesta del PSPV da mayoría a la izquierda en las autonómicas". El País (in Spanish). 27 October 2002.

[CISOct02-17] "Instituciones y autonomías, II. CA Valenciana (Estudio nº 2455. Septiembre-Octubre 2002)". CIS (in Spanish). 19 November 2002.

[18] "El PP, partido más votado en diez Comunidades Autónomas" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 November 2002.

[19] "El PP ganaría las autonómicas en diez Comunidades y el PSOE en cuatro, según el CIS". ABC (in Spanish). 20 November 2002.

[20] "Una encuesta del PSPV dice que la diferencia respecto del PP se sitúa ahora en 8 puntos". El País (in Spanish). 12 May 2002.

[21] "Una encuesta del PSPV reduce a 9 puntos su distancia con el PP". El País (in Spanish). 24 February 2002.

[22] "Un sondeo del PP amplía su mayoría absoluta y revela que baja el PSPV". El País (in Spanish). 10 February 2002.

[23] "El PP se atribuye un 51,8% de apoyo en la Comunidad". El País (in Spanish). 25 July 2000.

[24] "Un PP hegemónico". El País (in Spanish). 3 January 2000.

[ValSoA-1] Ley Orgánica 5/1982, de 1 de julio, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Valenciana (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 1 July 1982. Retrieved 17 March 2017.

[ValELaw-2] Ley 1/1987, de 31 de marzo, Electoral Valenciana (Law 2) (in Spanish). 31 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.

[SpaELaw-3] Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.

[25] "Electoral Results. Electoral Data - Regional Election: 2003". www.cortsvalencianes.es (in Spanish). Valencian Government. Retrieved 29 November 2019.

[ResultsJEC-26] "Corts Valencianes election results, 25 May 2003" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of the Valencian Community. 12 August 2003. Retrieved 30 September 2017.

[HE-27] "Eleccions a les Corts Valencianes (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 September 2017.

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