2010 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

2010 Social Democratic Party leadership election
Turnout	66.3% 7.2 pp
Leader before election; Manuela Ferreira Leite;	Elected Leader ; Pedro Passos Coelho;

The 2010 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election was held on 26 March 2010. The leadership election was held after the defeat of the PSD in the 2009 general elections.^[1] The then PSD leader, Manuela Ferreira Leite, decided to not contest this leadership election and four candidates entered in the race: Pedro Passos Coelho, candidate also in 2008; Paulo Rangel; José Pedro Aguiar-Branco and Castanheira Barros. On election day, Passos Coelho won the leadership by a landslide, capturing more than 61% of the votes, while Rangel only polled 34%. The other two candidates had results below 4%.^[2]

Pedro Passos Coelho would lead the PSD to victory in the 2011 snap general elections and become Prime Minister.^[3]

Candidates

Name	Born	Experience	Announcement date	Ref.
Pedro Passos Coelho	24 August 1964 (age 45) Coimbra	Social Democratic Youth leader (1990–1995) Member of Parliament for Lisbon (1991–1999)	21 January 2010	^[4]
Paulo Rangel	18 February 1968 (age 42) Vila Nova de Gaia	Member of the European Parliament (2009–2024) Leader of the Social Democratic Parliamentary Caucus (2008–2009) Member of Parliament for Porto (2005–2009)	10 February 2010	^[5]
José Pedro Aguiar-Branco	18 July 1957 (age 52) Porto	Minister of Justice (2004–2005) Member of Parliament for Porto (2005–2015)	12 February 2010	^[6]
Castanheira Barros	1952 (age 52) Coimbra	Lawyer PSD member	4 March 2010	^[7]

Opinion polls

All voters

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others /Undecided	Lead

			Passos Coelho	Paulo Rangel	Aguiar-Branco	Castanheira Barros
Intercampus	23–24 Mar 2010	605	36.9	25.1	9.8	1.0	27.3	11.8
Marktest	16–21 Mar 2010	808	34.7	22.9	6.3	—	36.1	11.8
Euroexpansão	16–21 Mar 2010	928	33.0	22.0	5.1	0.6	39.3	11.0
CESOP–UCP	6–9 Mar 2010	1,148	27	22	7	1	43	5
Eurosondagem	4–9 Mar 2010	1,019	47.1	22.1	15.9	1.9	13.0	25.0
Aximage	17–19 Feb 2010	600	41.9	37.1	12.2	—	8.8	4.8

PSD voters/PSD members

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others /Undecided	Lead

			Passos Coelho	Paulo Rangel	Aguiar-Branco	Castanheira Barros
Intercampus (PSD voters)	23–24 Mar 2010	180	43.3	36.7	9.2	1.4	8.9	6.6
Marktest (PSD voters)	16–21 Mar 2010	140	42.2	28.9	6.7	—	22.2	13.3
Euroexpansão (PSD voters)	16–21 Mar 2010	293	43.0	33.8	5.1	0.3	17.8	9.2
Pitagórica (PSD members)	15–21 Mar 2010	612	48.8	38.8	4.8	0.3	7.2	10.0
Pitagórica (PSD members)	10–14 Mar 2010	541	52.3	31.3	7.8	1.0	7.6	21.0
CESOP–UCP (PSD voters)	6–9 Mar 2010	?	35	32	8	0	25	5

Hypothetical polling

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Ferreira Leite	Marques Mendes	Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa	Paulo Rangel	Pedro Passos Coelho	Aguiar-Branco	Nuno Morais Sarmento	Rui Rio	Others /Undecided	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size									Others /Undecided	Lead
Intercampus	23–27 Feb 2010	1,015	0.4	—	27.7	20.0	25.5	7.3	—	0.9	18.2	2.2
Aximage	17–19 Feb 2010	600	—	—	46.7	7.5	16.1	1.9	—	25.0	2.8	21.7
Eurosondagem	4–9 Feb 2010	1,025	3.2	6.7	30.9	4.7	24.4	15.8	2.0	—	12.3	6.5

Results

Summary of the March 2010 PSD leadership election results
Candidate		26 March 2010
Candidate		Votes	%
	Pedro Passos Coelho	31,671	61.20
	Paulo Rangel	17,821	34.44
	José Pedro Aguiar-Branco	1,769	3.42
	Castanheira Barros	138	0.27

Total		51,399

Valid votes		51,399	99.33
Invalid and blank ballots		349	0.67
Votes cast / turnout		51,748	66.26
Registered voters		78,094

Sources: Official results

Vote share

Pedro Passos Coelho			61.20%
Paulo Rangel			34.44%
Aguiar Branco			3.42%
Castanheira Barros			0.27%
Blank/Invalid			0.67%

References

^ "Manuela Ferreira Leite admite directas no PSD depois da votação do orçamento ", Público, 23 October 2009. Retrieved 6 March 2022.
^ "Passos Coelho eleito líder do PSD", Diário de Notícias, 27 March 2010. Retrieved 6 March 2022.
^ "Vitória de Passos Coelho nas Eleições Legislativas de 2011", RTP, 6 June 2011. Retrieved 6 March 2022.
^ Público (22 January 2010). "Mudar, o livro de Passos Coelho, é uma análise do país e também o seu farol para o partido". Retrieved 6 March 2022.
^ Correio da Manhã (10 February 2010). "PSD: Paulo Rangel apresenta candidatura". Retrieved 6 March 2022.
^ Público (12 February 2010). "Aguiar-Branco assume candidatura à presidência do PSD". Retrieved 6 March 2022.
^ Público (3 March 2010). "Castanheira Barros formaliza quinta-feira candidatura à liderança do PSD". Retrieved 6 March 2022.

External links

PSD Official Website

[1] "Manuela Ferreira Leite admite directas no PSD depois da votação do orçamento ", Público, 23 October 2009. Retrieved 6 March 2022.

[2] "Passos Coelho eleito líder do PSD", Diário de Notícias, 27 March 2010. Retrieved 6 March 2022.

[3] "Vitória de Passos Coelho nas Eleições Legislativas de 2011", RTP, 6 June 2011. Retrieved 6 March 2022.

[4] Público (22 January 2010). "Mudar, o livro de Passos Coelho, é uma análise do país e também o seu farol para o partido". Retrieved 6 March 2022.

[5] Correio da Manhã (10 February 2010). "PSD: Paulo Rangel apresenta candidatura". Retrieved 6 March 2022.

[6] Público (12 February 2010). "Aguiar-Branco assume candidatura à presidência do PSD". Retrieved 6 March 2022.

[7] Público (3 March 2010). "Castanheira Barros formaliza quinta-feira candidatura à liderança do PSD". Retrieved 6 March 2022.

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