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Waveney Valley (UK Parliament constituency)

Waveney Valley
County constituency
for the House of Commons
Map
Boundaries since 2024
Map of constituency
Boundary of Waveney Valley in the East of England
CountyNorfolk and Suffolk
Electorate70,540 (2023)[1]
Major settlementsBungay, Diss, Eye, Halesworth, Harleston
Current constituency
Created2024
Member of ParliamentAdrian Ramsay (Green)
SeatsOne
Created fromWaveney; Central Suffolk and North Ipswich; Bury St. Edmunds; Suffolk Coastal & South Norfolk

Waveney Valley is a constituency of the House of Commons in the UK Parliament, created following the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies.[2] Since its first election in 2024, it has been represented by Adrian Ramsay of the Green Party and is the first Green seat in the East of England.

Boundaries

See also: 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies § Notional 2019 general election results

The constituency straddles the River Waveney between Norfolk and Suffolk and is composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):

  • The District of East Suffolk wards of: Bungay & Wainford; Halesworth & Blything.
  • The District of Mid Suffolk wards of: Bacton; Eye; Fressingfield; Gislingham; Haughley, Stowupland & Wetherden; Hoxne & Worlingworth; Mendlesham; Palgrave; Rickinghall; Stradbroke & Laxfield; Walsham-le-Willows.
  • The District of South Norfolk wards of: Beck Vale, Dickleburgh & Scole; Bressingham & Burston; Bunwell; Diss & Roydon; Ditchingham & Earsham; Harleston.[3]

It covers the following areas:

The seat was created from parts of five pre-2024 constituencies:

Contributions of pre-2024 constituencies to Waveney Valley constituency[4]
Pre-2024 constituency Pre-2024 party %age area of new constituency %age population of new constituency
South Norfolk Conservative 30.9% 41.1%
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Conservative 30.8% 20.5%
Bury St Edmunds Conservative 18.6% 19.6%
Waveney Conservative 14.0% 9.9%
Suffolk Coastal Conservative 5.7% 9.8%

The notional 2019 result as predicted by British academics Rallings and Thrasher for the revised constituency was calculated to be a Conservative victory.[5][6]

Constituency profile

Electoral Calculus characterises the proposed seat as "Strong Right", with right-wing economic and social views, high home ownership levels and strong support for Brexit.[7]

The seat was a target seat, in the 2024 general election, for the Green Party[8] who won half of the council wards in the seat in the 2023 local elections.

Members of Parliament

Election Member Party
2024 Adrian Ramsay Green

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: Waveney Valley[9][5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Green Adrian Ramsay 20,467 41.7 +32.4
Conservative Richard Rout 14,874 30.3 −31.9
Reform UK Scott Huggins 7,749 15.8 N/A
Labour Gurpreet Padda 4,621 9.4 −9.2
Liberal Democrats John Shreeve 1,214 2.5 −6.7
SDP Maya Severyn 118 0.2 N/A
Majority 5,593 11.4
Turnout 49,043 68.5
Green win (new seat)

Elections in the 2010s

See also: 2023_Periodic_Review_of_Westminster_constituencies § Notional_2019_general_election_results
2019 notional result[10]
Party Vote %
Conservative 31,898 62.2
Labour 9,534 18.6
Green 4,775 9.3
Liberal Democrats 4,696 9.2
Others 377 0.7
Turnout 51,280 72.7
Electorate 70,540

Constituency level polling

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election § Waveney Valley
Dates
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Con. Lab. Lib. Dems Green Ref. Others Lead
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election – 30.3% 9.4% 2.5% 41.7% 15.8% 0.2% 11.4
6–14 Jun 2024 We Think[11] The Green Party 500 24% 17% 7% 37% 16% – 13


See also

References

  1. ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – Eastern". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
  2. ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume one: Report – Eastern | Boundary Commission for England". boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk. Retrieved 2023-07-14.
  3. ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule I Part 2 Eastern region.
  4. ^ "Waveney Valley (31 May 2024 - ) - overlaps". UK Parliament election results. Retrieved 9 July 2024.
  5. ^ a b "Waveney Valley - General election results 2024". BBC News. Retrieved 27 September 2024.
  6. ^ "Notional election for the constituency of Waveney Valley on 12 December 2019". UK Parliament election results. Retrieved 9 July 2024.
  7. ^ "New Seat Details - Waveney Valley". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 2024-02-06.
  8. ^ Walker, Peter (2023-10-06). "Green party says it plans to focus its effort on four seats at general election". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2024-02-06.
  9. ^ "Statement of Persons Nominated, Notice of Poll & Situation of Polling Stations - Election of Member of Parliament to serve Waveney Valley constituency". Mid Suffolk District Councils. 2024-06-07.
  10. ^ "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament. Retrieved 11 July 2024.
  11. ^ Walker, Peter (21 June 2024). "Polling for Greens suggests party could take two rural seats from Tories". The Guardian.

52°28′N 1°43′E / 52.47°N 1.71°E / 52.47; 1.71

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