2020 United States presidential election in Alabama

2020 United States presidential election in Alabama
Turnout	63.1% 3.7 pp
President before election; Donald Trump; Republican	Elected President ; Joe Biden; Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Alabama took place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated.^[1] Alabama voters chose nine electors^[2] to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Republican President Donald Trump and his running mate, incumbent Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic challenger and former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, United States Senator Kamala Harris of California. Also on the ballot was the Libertarian nominee, psychology lecturer Jo Jorgensen and her running mate, entrepreneur and podcaster Spike Cohen. Write-in candidates were permitted without registration, and their results were not individually counted.^[3]^[4]

Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations making predictions considered this a state Trump would win, or otherwise a safe red state. Trump won the state with 62.03% of the vote to Biden's 36.57%.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

As one of the Super Tuesday states, little campaigning has been done here, and the focus had been on the highly competitive Republican senatorial primary, which was expected to boost turnout.^{[citation needed]}

Former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld challenged incumbent president Donald Trump in the Republican primary in Alabama.^[5] Trump received 96.22% of the vote^[6] and all 50 delegates,^[7] while Weld received only 1.52% of the vote. Uncommitted votes made up the other 2.27%.

2020 Alabama Republican presidential primary^[6]
Candidate	Popular vote		Delegates^[7]
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Delegates^[7]
Donald Trump (incumbent)	695,470	96.22%	50
Bill Weld	10,962	1.52%	0
Uncommitted	16,378	2.27%	0
Total	722,809	100%	50

Democratic primary

Biden won the Alabama primary with 63.28% of the vote, winning 44 delegates. Bernie Sanders came in second place with 16.54% of the vote, getting 8 delegates. No other candidates won any delegates from Alabama.

2020 Alabama Democratic presidential primary^[8]
Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates^[9]
Joe Biden	286,065	63.28	44
Bernie Sanders	74,755	16.54	8
Michael Bloomberg	52,750	11.67
Elizabeth Warren	25,847	5.72
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)^[a]	2,250	0.50
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)^[b]	1,416	0.31
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)^[b]	1,048	0.23
Tulsi Gabbard	1,038	0.23
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)^[b]	907	0.20
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)^[a]	875	0.19
Cory Booker (withdrawn)^[c]	740	0.16
John Delaney (withdrawn)^[c]	294	0.07
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)^[c]	224	0.05
Julian Castro (withdrawn)	184	0.04
Uncommitted	3,700	0.82
Total	452,093	100%	52

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[10]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
Inside Elections^[11]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[12]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
Politico^[13]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
RCP^[14]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
Niskanen^[15]^[16]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
CNN^[17]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
The Economist^[18]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
CBS News^[19]^[d]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
270towin^[20]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
ABC News^[21]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
NPR^[22]^[e]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
NBC News^[23]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
538^[24]	Safe R	November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided ^[f]	Margin
270 to Win^[25]	September 1 – October 13, 2020	October 27, 2020	38.0%	58.0%	4.0%	Trump +20.0
FiveThirtyEight^[26]	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	37.8%	57.4%	4.8%	Trump +19.5
Average			37.9%	57.7%	4.4%	Trump +19.8

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[27]	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	1,808 (LV)	± 3.5%	62%^[h]	36%	–	–	–
Swayable^[28]	Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020	330 (LV)	± 7.9%	55%	38%	7%	–	–
Data for Progress^[29]	Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020	1,045 (LV)	± 3%	58%	38%	3%	1%	0%^[i]
Auburn University At Montgomery^[30]	Oct 23–28, 2020	853 (LV)	± 4.4%	58%	39%	–	3%	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[27]	Oct 1–28, 2020	3,363 (LV)	–	61%	37%	–	–	–
Swayable^[31]	Oct 23–26, 2020	266 (LV)	± 7.8%	56%	37%	7%	–	–
Moore Information (R)^[32]^[A]	Oct 11–14, 2020	504 (LV)	± 4.5%	55%	38%	–	–	–
Auburn University at Montgomery^[33]	Sep 30 – Oct 3, 2020	1,072 (RV)	± 4.0%	57%	37%	–	6%	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[27]	Sep 1–30, 2020	1,354 (LV)	–	59%	39%	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[27]	Aug 1–31, 2020	1,220 (LV)	–	65%	33%	–	–	2%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance^[34]^[B]	Aug 17–19, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	48%	44%	0%	0%^[j]	7%
Morning Consult^[35]	Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020	609 (LV)	± 4.0%	58%	36%	–	2%^[k]	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[27]	Jul 1–31, 2020	1,583 (LV)	–	63%	35%	–	–	2%
Auburn University at Montgomery^[36]	Jul 2–9, 2020	567 (RV)	± 5.1%	55%	41%	–	4%	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[27]	Jun 8–30, 2020	649 (LV)	–	63%	35%	–	–	2%
FM3 Research/Doug Jones^[37]^[C]	May 14–18, 2020	601 (LV)	± 4%	53%	39%	–	–	–
Mason-Dixon^[38]	Feb 4–6, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4%	58%	38%	–	–	4%
WPA Intelligence^[39]	Jan 7–9, 2020	500 (LV)	–	59%	38%	–	–	3%

Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Michael Bloomberg (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon^[38]	Feb 4–6, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4%	54%	40%	6%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon^[38]	Feb 4–6, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4%	58%	37%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon^[38]	Feb 4–6, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4%	60%	37%	3%
WPA Intelligence^[39]	Jan 7–9, 2020	500 (LV)	–	59%	37%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon^[38]	Feb 4–6, 2020	625 (RV)	± 4%	62%	35%	3%

Hypothetical polling

With generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Generic opponent	Undecided
JMC Analytics^[40]	Dec 16–18, 2019	525 (LV)	± 4.3%	54%	42%^[l]	3%

Fundraising

According to the Federal Election Commission, in 2019 and 2020, Donald Trump and his interest groups raised $4,412,645.01,^[41] Joe Biden and his interest groups raised $2,412,420.93,^[42] and Jo Jorgensen raised $8,172.29^[43] from Alabama-based contributors.

Candidate ballot access

In addition, write-in candidates were allowed without registration, and their votes were not counted individually.^[3]^[4]

Electoral slates

The voters of Alabama cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, rather than directly for the President and Vice President. Alabama is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector. In the state of Alabama, a faithless elector's vote is counted and not penalized.^[44]^[45]

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2020, to cast their votes for president and vice president. All 9 pledged electors from Alabama cast their votes for President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead, the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The electoral vote was tabulated and certified by Congress in a joint session on January 6, 2021, per the Electoral Count Act.

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:^[46]^[47]^[48]

Donald Trump and Mike Pence Republican Party	Joe Biden and Kamala Harris Democratic Party	Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen Libertarian Party
Jacquelyn Gay Jeana S. Boggs Joseph R. Fuller John H. Killian J. Elbert Peters Joan Reynolds Rick Pate Dennis H. Beavers John Wahl	Brooke Tanner Battle Linda Coleman-Madison Earl Hilliard Jr. Sigfredo Rubio Lashunda Scales James Box Spearman Patricia Todd Sheila Tyson Ralph Young	Pascal Bruijn Lorelei Koory Shane A. Taylor Jason Matthew Shelby Elijah J. Boyd Dennis J. Knizley Laura Chancey Lane Anthony G. Peebles Franklin R. Dillman

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Alabama^[49]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump (incumbent) Mike Pence (incumbent)	1,441,170	62.03	−0.05
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	849,624	36.57	+2.21
	Independent^[m]	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	25,176	1.08	−1.01
	Write-in		7,312	0.32	−0.70
Total votes			2,323,282	100.00%

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Joe Biden Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total
Autauga	19,838	71.44%	7,503	27.02%	429	1.54%	12,335	44.42%	27,770
Baldwin	83,544	76.17%	24,578	22.41%	1,557	1.42%	58,966	53.76%	109,679
Barbour	5,622	53.45%	4,816	45.79%	80	0.76%	806	7.66%	10,518
Bibb	7,525	78.43%	1,986	20.70%	84	0.87%	5,539	57.73%	9,595
Blount	24,711	89.57%	2,640	9.57%	237	0.86%	22,071	80.00%	27,588
Bullock	1,146	24.84%	3,446	74.70%	21	0.46%	-2,300	-49.66%	4,613
Butler	5,458	57.53%	3,965	41.79%	65	0.68%	1,493	15.74%	9,488
Calhoun	35,101	68.85%	15,216	29.85%	666	1.30%	19,885	39.00%	50,983
Chambers	8,753	57.27%	6,365	41.64%	166	1.09%	2,388	15.63%	15,284
Cherokee	10,583	86.03%	1,624	13.20%	94	0.77%	8,959	72.83%	12,301
Chilton	16,085	83.30%	3,073	15.91%	152	0.79%	13,012	67.39%	19,310
Choctaw	4,296	57.56%	3,127	41.89%	41	0.55%	1,169	15.67%	7,464
Clarke	7,324	55.76%	5,755	43.81%	56	0.43%	1,569	11.95%	13,135
Clay	5,601	80.82%	1,267	18.28%	62	0.90%	4,334	62.54%	6,930
Cleburne	6,484	89.72%	675	9.34%	68	0.94%	5,809	80.38%	7,227
Coffee	16,899	75.87%	5,076	22.79%	300	1.34%	11,823	53.08%	22,275
Colbert	19,203	68.86%	8,343	29.92%	340	1.22%	10,860	38.94%	27,886
Conecuh	3,442	53.44%	2,966	46.05%	33	0.51%	476	7.39%	6,441
Coosa	3,631	66.27%	1,796	32.78%	52	0.95%	1,835	33.49%	5,479
Covington	14,586	83.68%	2,721	15.61%	123	0.71%	11,865	68.07%	17,430
Crenshaw	4,864	73.51%	1,700	25.69%	53	0.80%	3,164	47.82%	6,617
Cullman	36,880	88.12%	4,478	10.70%	493	1.18%	32,402	77.42%	41,851
Dale	14,303	72.46%	5,170	26.19%	265	1.35%	9,133	46.27%	19,738
Dallas	5,524	30.92%	12,230	68.46%	110	0.62%	-6,706	-37.54%	17,864
DeKalb	24,767	84.37%	4,281	14.58%	308	1.05%	20,486	69.79%	29,356
Elmore	30,164	73.52%	10,367	25.27%	499	1.21%	19,797	48.25%	41,030
Escambia	10,869	68.32%	4,918	30.91%	123	0.77%	5,951	37.41%	15,910
Etowah	35,528	74.44%	11,567	24.24%	633	1.32%	23,961	50.20%	47,728
Fayette	7,300	83.28%	1,395	15.91%	71	0.81%	5,905	67.37%	8,766
Franklin	10,376	82.49%	2,086	16.58%	116	0.93%	8,290	65.91%	12,578
Geneva	10,848	86.47%	1,595	12.71%	102	0.82%	9,253	73.76%	12,545
Greene	875	18.32%	3,884	81.34%	16	0.34%	-3,009	-63.02%	4,775
Hale	3,192	40.41%	4,663	59.03%	45	0.56%	-1,471	-18.62%	7,900
Henry	6,607	71.06%	2,606	28.03%	85	0.91%	4,001	43.03%	9,298
Houston	32,618	70.64%	12,917	27.98%	638	1.38%	19,701	42.66%	46,173
Jackson	19,670	83.22%	3,717	15.73%	249	1.05%	15,953	67.49%	23,636
Jefferson	138,843	42.61%	181,688	55.76%	5,317	1.63%	-42,845	-13.15%	325,848
Lamar	6,174	85.83%	978	13.60%	41	0.57%	5,196	72.23%	7,193
Lauderdale	31,721	71.54%	11,915	26.87%	703	1.59%	19,806	44.67%	44,339
Lawrence	12,322	76.86%	3,562	22.22%	147	0.92%	8,760	54.64%	16,031
Lee	42,221	59.09%	27,860	38.99%	1,368	1.92%	14,361	20.10%	71,449
Limestone	34,640	70.36%	13,672	27.77%	923	1.87%	20,968	42.59%	49,235
Lowndes	1,836	26.86%	4,972	72.74%	27	0.40%	-3,136	-45.88%	6,835
Macon	1,541	17.67%	7,108	81.49%	74	0.84%	-5,567	-63.82%	8,723
Madison	102,780	52.77%	87,286	44.82%	4,701	2.41%	15,494	7.95%	194,767
Marengo	5,343	49.02%	5,488	50.35%	69	0.63%	-145	-1.33%	10,900
Marion	12,205	88.40%	1,463	10.60%	139	1.00%	10,742	77.80%	13,807
Marshall	33,191	83.70%	5,943	14.99%	521	1.31%	27,248	68.71%	39,655
Mobile	101,243	55.27%	79,474	43.39%	2,447	1.34%	21,769	11.88%	183,164
Monroe	6,147	57.62%	4,455	41.76%	66	0.62%	1,692	15.86%	10,668
Montgomery	33,311	33.60%	64,529	65.09%	1,299	1.31%	-31,218	-31.49%	99,139
Morgan	39,664	73.83%	13,234	24.63%	824	1.54%	26,430	49.20%	53,722
Perry	1,339	25.60%	3,860	73.80%	31	0.60%	-2,521	-48.20%	5,230
Pickens	5,594	57.86%	4,022	41.60%	52	0.54%	1,572	16.26%	9,668
Pike	8,042	58.10%	5,636	40.72%	163	1.18%	2,406	17.38%	13,841
Randolph	8,559	78.98%	2,203	20.33%	75	0.69%	6,356	58.65%	10,837
Russell	9,864	46.25%	11,228	52.64%	237	1.11%	-1,564	-6.39%	21,329
Shelby	79,700	69.33%	33,268	28.94%	1,982	1.73%	46,432	40.39%	114,950
St. Clair	36,166	81.38%	7,744	17.43%	531	1.19%	28,422	63.95%	44,441
Sumter	1,598	25.40%	4,648	73.88%	45	0.72%	-3,050	-48.48%	6,291
Talladega	22,235	62.35%	13,138	36.84%	290	0.81%	9,097	25.51%	35,663
Tallapoosa	14,963	71.28%	5,859	27.91%	169	0.81%	9,104	43.37%	20,991
Tuscaloosa	51,117	56.69%	37,765	41.88%	1,290	1.43%	13,352	14.81%	90,172
Walker	26,002	83.42%	4,834	15.51%	334	1.07%	21,168	67.91%	31,170
Washington	6,564	73.95%	2,258	25.44%	54	0.61%	4,306	48.51%	8,876
Wilcox	1,833	31.05%	4,048	68.58%	22	0.37%	-2,215	-37.53%	5,903
Winston	10,195	90.35%	974	8.63%	115	1.02%	9,221	81.72%	11,284
Totals	1,441,170	62.03%	849,624	36.57%	32,488	1.40%	591,546	25.46%	2,323,282

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 7 congressional districts.^[50] Trump's 81.2% in Alabama's 4th district was his best showing of any congressional district in the nation.

District	Trump	Biden	Elected representative
1st	63.7%	35.3%	Jerry Carl
2nd	63.9%	35.1%	Barry Moore
3rd	65.3%	33.7%	Mike Rogers
4th	81.2%	17.8%	Robert Aderholt
5th	62.7%	35.7%	Mo Brooks
6th	67.0%	31.8%	Gary Palmer
7th	28.5%	70.8%	Terri Sewell

Analysis

A socially conservative Bible Belt state, Alabama has voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election starting in 1980, and has done so by double-digit margins in all of them except 1980, 1992, and 1996. Most analysts expected the state to be uncompetitive.

Biden only won Jefferson County and 12 counties in the Black Belt; Trump won all other counties.

This election coincided with the 2020 U.S. Senate election in Alabama, where incumbent Democrat Doug Jones – who was elected by a 21,924 vote margin in a 2017 special election – ran for a full six-year term but was defeated by Republican football coach Tommy Tuberville. Despite losing, Jones outperformed Biden by 5.1 percentage points.

Exit polls

Edison

The following are estimates from exit polls conducted by the Edison Research for the National Election Pool (encompassing ABC News, CBS News, CNN, and NBC News) interviewing 1,201 Alabama voters, adjusted to match the actual vote count.^[51]

2020 presidential election in Alabama by subgroup (Edison exit polling)^[52]
Demographic subgroup	Biden	Trump	% of total vote
Total vote	36.57	62.03	99
Ideology
Liberals	91	8	14
Moderates	54	44	36
Conservatives	8	92	50
Party
Democrats	95	5	26
Republicans	2	97	53
Independents	49	44	21
Gender
Men	35	63	45
Women	39	61	55
Race/ethnicity
White	21	77	74
Black	89	11	22
Hispanic or Latino	–	–	3
Asian	–	–	0
Other	–	–	1
Age
18–29 years old	54	44	15
30–44 years old	40	57	23
45–64 years old	37	62	37
65 and older	23	77	25
Sexual orientation
LGBT	–	–	5
Heterosexual	32	66	95
Education
Never attended college	26	73	20
Some college education	40	60	25
Associate degree	29	70	17
Bachelor's degree	40	57	23
Postgraduate degree	52	47	14
Income
Less than $50,000	35	65	37
$50,000 to $99,999	38	60	31
$100,000 or more	33	67	32
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality	93	5	18
Coronavirus	–	–	7
Economy	8	91	49
Crime and safety	–	–	15
Health care	–	–	7
Region
North	29	70	24
North Central	26	72	26
Birmingham/South Central	56	42	28
South	33	66	22
Area type
Urban	58	39	25
Suburban	27	72	56
Rural	37	61	20
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago	17	82	60
Worse than four years ago	67	33	11
About the same	64	34	27

Associated Press

The following are estimates from exit polls conducted by the University of Chicago for the Associated Press interviewing 1,905 likely voters in Alabama, adjusted to match the actual vote count.^[53]

2020 presidential election in Alabama by subgroup (Associated Press exit polling)^[53]
Demographic subgroup	Biden	Trump	Jorgensen	% of total vote
Total vote	36.57	62.03	1.08	100
Ideology
Liberals	86	13	1	20
Moderates	55	42	2	28
Conservatives	7	92	1	51
Party
Democrats or lean Democrat	96	3	1	33
Republicans or lean Republican	4	94	1	63
Independents	54	40	4	4
Type of vote
Election Day	31	67	1	83
Mail	62	37	1	17
Vote in 2016
Hillary Clinton	97	2	1	27
Donald Trump	3	96	1	53
Someone else	54	30	12	4
Did not vote	41	57	1	16
Gender
Men	32	66	1	46
Women	40	59	1	53
Race/ethnicity
White	20	78	1	75
Black	91	8	1	22
Hispanic or Latino	–	–	–	1
Asian	–	–	–	<1
American Indian, Native American, or Alaska Native	–	–	–	<1
Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander	–	–	–	<1
Other	–	–	–	1
Age
18–24 years old	50	45	3	6
25–29 years old	39	59	1	6
30–39 years old	37	60	2	14
40–49 years old	44	55	1	15
50–64 years old	35	64	1	30
65 and older	30	69	<1	29
Religion
Protestant	23	75	1	40
Catholic	40	59	1	7
Mormon	–	–	–	1
Other Christian	35	63	1	26
Jewish	–	–	–	1
Muslim	–	–	–	<1
Something else	56	43	1	11
None	60	38	2	13
White evangelical or white-born again Christian
Yes	12	88	<1	53
No	52	46	1	47
Marital status
Married	31	68	1	52
Not married	48	52	1	48
Sexual orientation
LGBT	–	–	–	9
Heterosexual	35	64	1	91
Education
High school or less	33	66	<1	33
Some college education or associate degree	36	63	1	36
College graduate	39	58	3	20
Postgraduate degree	44	53	1	11
Total household income (2019)
Under $25,000	48	51	1	21
$25,000–$49,999	36	63	1	27
$50,000–$74,999	33	66	<1	18
$75,000–$99,999	30	68	2	14
Over $100,000	32	66	1	19
Union households
Yes	–	–	–	8
No	35	63	2	92
Veteran households
Yes	30	69	<1	32
No	36	62	1	68
Issue regarded as most important
Economy and jobs	9	89	2	32
Healthcare	54	46	<1	9
Immigration	–	–	–	5
Abortion	–	–	–	3
Law enforcement	–	–	–	5
Climate change	–	–	–	1
Foreign policy	–	–	–	1
COVID-19 pandemic	58	40	1	33
Racism	68	29	1	10
Area type
Urban	59	40	<1	13
Suburban	42	55	2	32
Small town	34	64	1	26
Rural	23	77	<1	30

Notes

^ ^a ^b Candidate withdrew after the New Hampshire primary when absentee voting had already begun.
^ ^a ^b ^c Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary when absentee voting had already begun.
^ ^a ^b ^c Candidate withdrew during the first days of the absentee voting period.
^ CBS News' presidential election ratings uniquely do not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.
^ NPR's presidential election ratings uniquely do not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
^ "Refused" with 0%
^ "Someone else" with 2%
^ "Trump does not deserve to be re-elected" with 42% as opposed to "Trump deserves to be re-elected"
^ Jorgensen and Cohen were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Alabama but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

Partisan clients

^ Poll sponsored by Tommy Tuberville's campaign.
^ The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
^ Poll sponsored by Doug Jones' campaign

References

^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^ ^a ^b "2020 November General Election Sample Ballot". Alabama Secretary of State. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020. Retrieved December 4, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Alabama". Ballotpedia. Retrieved December 4, 2020.
^ Sean Ross (January 17, 2020). "View your county's sample ballot for Alabama's March 3 primary election". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved February 4, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "Republican Party – Official 2020 Primary Election Results". Alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. March 11, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "Alabama Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
^ "Democratic Party – Official 2020 Primary Election Results". Alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. March 11, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved November 24, 2022.
^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
^ "Niskanen Center electoral college map". 270toWin. September 15, 2020. Retrieved December 19, 2020.
^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
^ "Alabama 2020 Presidential Election Polls: Biden vs. Trump - 270toWin". 270toWin.com.
^ Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018). "Alabama : President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "Candidate preference". www.tableau.com.
^ "Swayable". Archived from the original on November 13, 2020.
^ "Data for Progress" (PDF).
^ "Auburn University At Montgomery" (PDF).
^ "Swayable". www.swayable.com.
^ Cason, Mike (October 19, 2020). "Tuberville campaign tells potential donors he's fallen behind Jones". al.
^ "AUM Poll: Tommy Tuberville leads Doug Jones by 12 points in closing weeks of Alabama Senate race - AUM". Archived from the original on November 9, 2020.
^ "Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance" (PDF).
^ "Republicans Lead Senate Races in Alabama, Kentucky and Texas, With South Carolina Tied". Morning Consult Pro.
^ "Auburn University at Montgomery" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on July 13, 2020.
^ "x.com".
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e Stacy, Todd (February 11, 2020). "Trump leads Democratic contenders in Alabama poll". Alabama Daily News.
^ ^a ^b Poor, Jeff (January 28, 2020). "Poll: Doug Jones reelection chances take hit if he votes to remove Trump".
^ "JMC Analytics" (PDF).
^ "TRUMP, DONALD J. - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission. January 2019. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
^ "BIDEN, JOSEPH R JR - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission. January 2019. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
^ "JORGENSEN, JO - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission. January 2015. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
^ "Faithless Elector State Laws". FairVote. July 7, 2020. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
^ "Alabama Code Title 17. Elections § 17-14-31". FindLaw. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
^ "Certification of Dem Electors" (PDF). alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
^ "GOP Final Certification 8-27-2020" (PDF). alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
^ "Elector Statements for Jo Jorgensen and Jeremy Spike Cohen" (PDF). alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
^ "State of Alabama: Canvass of Results" (PDF). November 23, 2020. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
^ "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". m.dailykos.com/. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
^ "Alabama Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
^ "Alabama 2020 President exit polls". CNN. Archived from the original on December 3, 2020. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
^ ^a ^b "Alabama Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 31, 2021.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Alabama", Voting & Elections Toolkits
"Alabama: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
"League of Women Voters of Alabama". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Alabama at Ballotpedia

[WithdrewBeforeST-al2-10] Candidate withdrew after the New Hampshire primary when absentee voting had already begun.

[WithdrewBeforeST-al3-11] Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary when absentee voting had already begun.

[WithdrewBeforeST-al1-12] Candidate withdrew during the first days of the absentee voting period.

[23] CBS News' presidential election ratings uniquely do not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.

[27] NPR's presidential election ratings uniquely do not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.

[othercalc-30] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[key-AL-33] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[35] Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

[38] "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%

[46] "Refused" with 0%

[48] "Someone else" with 2%

[55] "Trump does not deserve to be re-elected" with 42% as opposed to "Trump deserves to be re-elected"

[LP_independents-65] Jorgensen and Cohen were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Alabama but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

[Tuberville-42] Poll sponsored by Tommy Tuberville's campaign.

[45] The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

[51] Poll sponsored by Doug Jones' campaign

[1] Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[2] "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.

[:2-3] "2020 November General Election Sample Ballot". Alabama Secretary of State. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020. Retrieved December 4, 2020.

[:3-4] "Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Alabama". Ballotpedia. Retrieved December 4, 2020.

[5] Sean Ross (January 17, 2020). "View your county's sample ballot for Alabama's March 3 primary election". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved February 4, 2020.

[2020_Alabama_Republican_presidential_primary_ALofficialresults-6] "Republican Party – Official 2020 Primary Election Results". Alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. March 11, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.

[2020_Alabama_Republican_presidential_primary_:0-7] "Alabama Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.

[2020_Alabama_Democratic_presidential_primary_AL-SOS-results-8] "Democratic Party – Official 2020 Primary Election Results". Alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. March 11, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.

[2020_Alabama_Democratic_presidential_primary_AL-AP-delegates-9] "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved November 24, 2022.

[13] "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[14] "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[15] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.

[16] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[17] "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.

[niskanen-18] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.

[19] "Niskanen Center electoral college map". 270toWin. September 15, 2020. Retrieved December 19, 2020.

[20] David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.

[21] "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.

[22] "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.

[24] "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.

[25] "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.

[26] Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.

[28] "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.

[29] "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.

[31] "Alabama 2020 Presidential Election Polls: Biden vs. Trump - 270toWin". 270toWin.com.

[32] Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018). "Alabama : President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight.

[AL-SurveyMonkey/Axios-34] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "Candidate preference". www.tableau.com.

[36] "Swayable". Archived from the original on November 13, 2020.

[37] "Data for Progress" (PDF).

[39] "Auburn University At Montgomery" (PDF).

[40] "Swayable". www.swayable.com.

[41] Cason, Mike (October 19, 2020). "Tuberville campaign tells potential donors he's fallen behind Jones". al.

[43] "AUM Poll: Tommy Tuberville leads Doug Jones by 12 points in closing weeks of Alabama Senate race - AUM". Archived from the original on November 9, 2020.

[44] "Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance" (PDF).

[47] "Republicans Lead Senate Races in Alabama, Kentucky and Texas, With South Carolina Tied". Morning Consult Pro.

[49] "Auburn University at Montgomery" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on July 13, 2020.

[50] "x.com".

[AL-Mason-Dixon-52] Stacy, Todd (February 11, 2020). "Trump leads Democratic contenders in Alabama poll". Alabama Daily News.

[WPA_Intelligence-53] Poor, Jeff (January 28, 2020). "Poll: Doug Jones reelection chances take hit if he votes to remove Trump".

[54] "JMC Analytics" (PDF).

[56] "TRUMP, DONALD J. - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission. January 2019. Retrieved December 9, 2020.

[57] "BIDEN, JOSEPH R JR - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission. January 2019. Retrieved December 9, 2020.

[58] "JORGENSEN, JO - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission. January 2015. Retrieved December 9, 2020.

[59] "Faithless Elector State Laws". FairVote. July 7, 2020. Retrieved December 9, 2020.

[60] "Alabama Code Title 17. Elections § 17-14-31". FindLaw. Retrieved December 9, 2020.

[61] "Certification of Dem Electors" (PDF). alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.

[62] "GOP Final Certification 8-27-2020" (PDF). alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.

[63] "Elector Statements for Jo Jorgensen and Jeremy Spike Cohen" (PDF). alabama.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.

[Official_canvas_results-64] "State of Alabama: Canvass of Results" (PDF). November 23, 2020. Retrieved November 23, 2020.

[66] "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". m.dailykos.com/. Retrieved December 18, 2020.

[67] "Alabama Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 26, 2021.

[68] "Alabama 2020 President exit polls". CNN. Archived from the original on December 3, 2020. Retrieved March 26, 2021.

[:4-69] "Alabama Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 31, 2021.

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