2020 United States presidential election in California
2020 United States presidential election in California Turnout 80.67% (of registered voters) 5.40 pp 70.88% (of eligible voters) 12.14 pp [ 1]
County results
Congressional district results
Census block group results
Biden
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Trump
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Tie/No Votes
The 2020 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[ 2] California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party 's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump , and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden , and his running mate Kamala Harris , the junior senator from California. In the 2020 election, California had 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most of any state. Biden won by a wide margin, as was expected; however, California was one of six states where Trump received a larger percentage of the two-party vote than he did in 2016.[ a] This election also marked the first time since 2004 that the Republican candidate won more than one million votes in Los Angeles County due to increased turnout.
California is considered a safe blue state in presidential elections due to large concentrations of Democratic voters in urban regions such as the San Francisco Bay Area , Sacramento , Los Angeles , and San Diego . As predicted, Biden easily carried California on election day, earning 63.5% of the vote and a margin of 29.2% over Trump. Biden earned the highest percentage of the vote in the state for any candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936 , although Biden's margin of victory was slightly smaller than Hillary Clinton 's 30.1% in 2016, making it one of six states in which Trump improved on his 2016 margin. In California, Biden became the first candidate in any race in U.S. history to win more than 10 million votes in a single state, while Trump received the most votes a Republican had ever received in a state to that point, narrowly besting his vote total in Texas , a state that he won;[ 3] four years later his Texas vote total would set a new Republican record. Biden's vote margin was the largest vote margin for a presidential candidate in a singular state. California was also one of five states in the nation in which Biden's victory margin was larger than 1 million raw votes, the others being New York , Maryland , Massachusetts , and Illinois . Biden's Californian margin of victory of 5.1 million votes accounted for much of his seven million vote lead nationwide.
Per exit polls by Edison Research , Biden dominated such key constituencies in the state as Latinos (75%), African Americans (82%), Asian Americans (76%), and union households (63%).[ 4] Post-election analysis by Cook Political Report showed Trump made inroads with some Asian American constituencies, particularly Vietnamese American and Filipino American voters.[ 5] Biden flipped Butte and Inyo Counties into the Democratic column; they had not voted Democratic since 2008 and 1964 , respectively. Biden's victory in Orange County was only the second time a Democrat carried the county since 1936 , as well as only the fourth time in the county's history. In contrast, while he improved his total vote share by nearly three percentage points, Trump did not flip any counties and his main regions of strength came from Republican strongholds in Gold Country , Shasta Cascade , and parts of the Central Valley . California Secretary of State Alex Padilla certified the results on December 4, and took Harris's seat in the Senate upon her resignation to become Vice President , having been appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom .[ 6]
Primary elections
In a departure from previous election cycles, California held its primaries on Super Tuesday , March 3, 2020.[ 7] Early voting began several weeks earlier. Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating several longshot candidates, most notably former Massachusetts governor Bill Weld . Kamala Harris , the state's junior U.S. senator, was among the Democratic candidates declared until she dropped out on December 3, 2019. Representative Eric Swalwell from the 15th district was also a Democratic candidate but dropped out of the race on July 8, 2019. Other prominent state figures, including former Governor Jerry Brown , current Governor Gavin Newsom , and Los Angeles mayor Eric Garcetti declined to run.[ 8] [ 9] [ 10]
Republican primary
The Republican Party's primary campaign was dominated by a lawsuit over the President's taxes.[ 11] The suit alleges that the new requirement for several years of a candidate's taxes was unconstitutional and onerous. The law was blocked in September 2019 while State Supreme court heard testimony and made a ruling.[ 12]
As a contingency, the Republican state committee changed its delegate selection process, turning the primary into a mere "beauty contest" and setting up an emergency state convention to Trump's delegate choices.[ 13] If Trump were allowed on the ballot, the convention would be canceled and the so-called "winner-take-most" rules, which require a challenger to get 20% of the vote, would apply.
Incumbent Trump was allowed on the ballot, and the contingency convention was canceled.
2020 California Republican presidential primary[ 14]
Candidate
Votes
%
Estimated delegates
Donald Trump
2,279,120
92.2%
172
Bill Weld
66,904
2.7%
0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)
64,749
2.6%
0
Rocky De La Fuente
24,351
1.0%
0
Matthew John Matern
15,469
0.6%
0
Robert Ardini
12,857
0.5%
0
Zoltan Istvan
8,141
0.3%
0
Total
2,471,591
100%
Democratic primary
Candidates began filing their paperwork on November 4, 2019, and the final list was announced on December 9.
Leading California Democrats complained that Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren were snubbing the state by refusing to attend a forum at the State's "endorsement convention".[ 15] Early voting began on February 11 and ended the day before primary day.
2020 California Democratic presidential primary[ 16]
Candidate
Votes
%
Delegates[ 17]
Bernie Sanders
2,080,846
35.97
225
Joe Biden
1,613,854
27.90
172
Elizabeth Warren
762,555
13.18
11
Michael Bloomberg
701,803
12.13
7
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) [ b]
249,256
4.31
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) [ b]
126,961
2.19
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [ b]
113,092
1.96
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) [ c]
43,571
0.75
Tulsi Gabbard
33,769
0.58
Julian Castro (withdrawn)
13,892
0.24
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) [ c]
7,377
0.13
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)
7,052
0.12
Cory Booker (withdrawn)
6,000
0.10
John Delaney (withdrawn)
4,606
0.08
Joe Sestak (withdrawn)
3,270
0.06
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) [ c]
2,022
0.03
Other candidates / Write-in
[ d] 14,438
0.25
Total
5,784,364
100%
415
Bernie Sanders rally at the Los Angeles Convention Center
Senator Bernie Sanders at a campaign rally in San Jose on March 1, 2020
Joe Biden's presidential campaign in Bel Air, Los Angeles , on March 5, 2020
Pledged delegates[ 18]
Delegate type
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Elizabeth Warren
At-large
51
39
0
0
PLEO
30
24
0
0
District-level
144
109
7
11
Total
225
172
7
11
Libertarian primary
2020 California Libertarian presidential primary
Election results by county
Jacob Hornberger
Vermin Supreme
Ken Armstrong
Kim Ruff
Sam Robb
Tie
The Libertarian Party of California permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[ 20]
2020 California Libertarian presidential primary[ 21]
Candidate
Votes
%
Jacob Hornberger
5,530
19.4
Jo Jorgensen
3,534
12.4
Vermin Supreme
3,469
12.2
Ken Armstrong
3,011
10.6
Kim Ruff (withdrawn)
2,330
8.2
Adam Kokesh
2,161
7.6
Sam Robb
1,722
6.0
Dan Behrman
1,695
5.9
Max Abramson
1,605
5.6
Souraya Faas
999
3.5
Steven A. Richey
982
3.4
Erik Gerhardt
748
2.6
Keenan Dunham
720
2.5
Sorinne Ardeleanu (write-in)
27
0.1
Geby Eva Espinosa (write-in)
2
0.0
Total
28,535
100.0
Green primary
2020 California Green primary[ 22]
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Howie Hawkins
4,202
36.2%
16 estimated
Dario Hunter
2,558
22.0%
9 estimated
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry
2,071
17.8%
8 estimated
Dennis Lambert
1,999
17.2%
7 estimated
David Rolde
774
6.7%
3 estimated
Total
9,656
100.00%
43
American Independent primary
The American Independent Party permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[ 20]
Peace and Freedom primary
General election
Final predictions
Polling
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Polls
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump Republican
Joe Biden Democratic
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian
Howie Hawkins Green
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 42]
Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020
12,370 (LV)
± 1.5%
36%[ g]
62%
–
–
–
–
David Binder Research [ 43]
Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020
800 (LV)
–
31%
62%
–
–
3%
4%
USC Schwarzenegger Institute [ 44]
Oct 27–31, 2020
1,155 (RV)
± 3%
28%
65%
–
–
4%[ h]
2%
SurveyMonkey /Tableau [ 42]
Sep 30 – Oct 28, 2020
22,450 (LV)
–
37%[ g]
61%
–
–
–
–
Swayable [ 45]
Oct 23–26, 2020
635 (LV)
± 5.2%
35%
62%
2%
1%
–
–
UC Berkeley /LA Times [ 46] [1]
Oct 16–21, 2020
5,352 (LV)
± 2%
29%
65%
1%
0%
0%[ i] [ j]
3%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 47]
Oct 9–18, 2020
1,185 (LV)
± 4.3%
32%
58%
3%
2%
1%[ k]
4%
SurveyMonkey /Tableau [ 42]
Sep 1–30, 2020
20,346 (LV)
–
35%
63%
–
–
–
2%
SurveyUSA [ 48]
Sep 26–28, 2020
588 (LV)
± 5.4%
34%
59%
–
–
3%[ l]
6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [ 49]
Sep 19–21, 2020
1,775 (LV)
–
28%
62%
1%
1%
1%[ m]
8%
UC Berkeley /LA Times [ 50] [2]
Sep 9–15, 2020
5,942 (LV)
± 2%
28%
67%
1%
0%
0%[ i] [ j]
3%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 51]
Sep 4–13, 2020
1,168 (LV)
± 4.3%
31%
60%
3%
2%
1%[ k]
2%
Spry Strategies /Women's Liberation Front [ 52] [ n]
Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4%
39%
56%
–
–
–
5%
SurveyMonkey /Tableau [ 42]
Aug 1–31, 2020
17,537 (LV)
–
35%
63%
–
–
–
2%
David Binder Research [ 53]
Aug 22–24, 2020
800 (LV)
–
31%
61%
–
–
3%[ o]
5%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies [ 54]
Aug 9, 2020
1,904 (LV)
± 2.3%
25%
61%
1%
1%
2%[ p]
9%
SurveyMonkey /Tableau [ 42]
Jul 1–31, 2020
19,027 (LV)
–
35%
63%
–
–
–
2%
University of California Berkeley [ 55] [3]
Jul 21–27, 2020
6,756 (LV)
± 2.0%
28%
67%
–
–
–
5%
SurveyMonkey /Tableau [ 42]
Jun 8–30, 2020
8,412 (LV)
–
36%
62%
–
–
–
2%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 56]
May 19–26, 2020
1,048 (LV)
± 4.6%
33%
57%
–
–
6%[ q]
3%
SurveyUSA [ 57]
May 18–19, 2020
537 (LV)
± 5.4%
30%
58%
–
–
5%
7%
Emerson College [ 58]
May 8–10, 2020
800 (RV)
± 3.4%
35%[ r]
65%
–
–
–
–
Public Policy Polling [ 59]
Mar 28–29, 2020
962 (RV)
–
29%
67%
–
–
–
3%
AtlasIntel [ 60]
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020
1,100 (RV)
± 3.0%
26%
62%
–
–
12%
–
YouGov [ 61]
Feb 26–28, 2020
1,507 (RV)
–
31%
59%
–
–
4%
4%
CNN /SSRS[ 62]
Feb 22–26, 2020
951 (RV)
± 3.3%
35%
60%
–
–
3%[ s]
3%
University of California Berkeley [ 63]
Feb 20–25, 2020
5,526 (RV)
–
31%
58%
–
–
–
11%
SurveyUSA [ 64]
Feb 13–16, 2020
1,196 (RV)
± 3.1%
37%
57%
–
–
–
6%
YouGov /USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute [ 65]
Feb 1–15, 2020
1,200 (RV)
± 3.1%
30%
60%
–
–
–
4%
SurveyUSA [ 66]
Jan 14–16, 2020
1,967 (RV)
± 2.8%
35%
59%
–
–
–
6%
CNN /SSRS[ 67]
Dec 4–8, 2019
1,011 (RV)
± 3.4%
36%
56%
–
–
3%[ s]
5%
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
32%
59%
–
–
–
9%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.8%
32%
59%
–
–
–
9%
Emerson College [ 70]
Sep 13–16, 2019
830 (RV)
± 3.3%
36%
64%
–
–
–
–
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
31%
57%
–
–
–
11%
SurveyUSA [ 72]
Aug 1–5, 2019
2,184 (RV)
± 2.7%
27%
61%
–
–
–
12%
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
33%
56%
–
–
–
11%
Hypothetical polling
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Bernie Sanders (D)
Other
Undecided
AtlasIntel [ 60]
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020
1,100 (RV)
± 3.0%
28%
60%
12%
–
YouGov [ 61]
Feb 26–28, 2020
1,507 (RV)
–
31%
59%
6%[ t]
4%
CNN /SSRS[ 62]
Feb 22–26, 2020
951 (RV)
± 3.3%
36%
59%
3%[ s]
2%
University of California Berkeley [ 63]
Feb 20–25, 2020
5,526 (RV)
–
31%
59%
–
10%
SurveyUSA [ 64]
Feb 13–16, 2020
1,196 (RV)
± 3.1%
37%
58%
–
6%
YouGov /USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute [ 65]
Feb 1–15, 2020
1,200 (RV)
± 3.1%
31%
61%
–
4%
SurveyUSA [ 66]
Jan 14–16, 2020
1,967 (RV)
± 2.7%
36%
59%
–
5%
CNN /SSRS[ 67]
Dec 4–8, 2019
1,011 (RV)
± 3.4%
38%
54%
4%[ u]
4%
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
34%
60%
–
7%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.8%
33%
59%
–
8%
Emerson College [ 70]
Sep 13–16, 2019
830 (RV)
± 3.3%
38%
63%
–
–
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
33%
57%
–
10%
SurveyUSA [ 72]
Aug 1–5, 2019
2,184 (RV)
± 2.7%
29%
62%
–
9%
with Donald Trump and Tulsi Gabbard
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Tulsi Gabbard (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 66]
Jan 14–16, 2020
1,967 (RV)
± 2.8%
38%
43%
19%
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Elizabeth Warren (D)
Other
Undecided
AtlasIntel [ 60]
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020
1,100 (RV)
± 3.0%
28%
60%
12%
–
YouGov [ 61]
Feb 26–28, 2020
1,507 (RV)
–
32%
57%
5%[ v]
6%
CNN /SSRS[ 62]
Feb 22–26, 2020
951 (RV)
± 3.3%
37%
56%
3%[ s]
4%
University of California Berkeley [ 63]
Feb 20–25, 2020
5,526 (RV)
–
33%
58%
–
10%
SurveyUSA [ 64]
Feb 13–16, 2020
1,196 (RV)
± 3.1%
38%
54%
–
8%
YouGov /USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute [ 65]
Feb 1–15, 2020
1,200 (RV)
± 3.1%
32%
59%
–
4%
SurveyUSA [ 66]
Jan 14–16, 2020
1,967 (RV)
± 2.8%
39%
55%
–
7%
CNN /SSRS[ 67]
Dec 4–8, 2019
1,011 (RV)
± 3.4%
37%
53%
4%[ u]
6%
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
35%
56%
–
9%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
33%
55%
–
12%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
56%
–
8%
Emerson College [ 70]
Sep 13–16, 2019
830 (RV)
± 3.3%
39%
61%
–
–
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
35%
53%
–
12%
SurveyUSA [ 72]
Aug 1–5, 2019
2,184 (RV)
± 2.7%
30%
58%
–
12%
SurveyUSA [ 74]
Jan 7–9, 2018
909 (RV)
± 3.3%
32%
53%
–
14%
with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Michael Bloomberg (D)
Other
Undecided
AtlasIntel [ 60]
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020
1,100 (RV)
± 3.0%
25%
51%
24%
–
YouGov [ 61]
Feb 26–28, 2020
1,507 (RV)
–
32%
51%
10%[ w]
7%
CNN /SSRS[ 62]
Feb 22–26, 2020
951 (RV)
± 3.3%
35%
55%
4%[ x]
5%
University of California Berkeley [ 63]
Feb 20–25, 2020
5,526 (RV)
–
30%
54%
–
16%
SurveyUSA [ 64]
Feb 13–16, 2020
1,196 (RV)
± 3.1%
34%
59%
–
7%
YouGov /USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute [ 65]
Feb 1–15, 2020
1,200 (RV)
± 3.1%
31%
57%
–
6%
SurveyUSA [ 66]
Jan 14–16, 2020
1,967 (RV)
± 2.8%
36%
56%
–
8%
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
34%
50%
–
16%
with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar
with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Pete Buttigieg (D)
Other
Undecided
YouGov [ 61]
Feb 26–28, 2020
1,507 (RV)
–
33%
54%
8%[ z]
6%
CNN /SSRS[ 62]
Feb 22–26, 2020
951 (RV)
± 3.3%
35%
56%
4%[ x]
4%
University of California Berkeley [ 63]
Feb 20–25, 2020
5,526 (RV)
–
30%
58%
–
12%
SurveyUSA [ 64]
Feb 13–16, 2020
1,196 (RV)
± 3.1%
36%
56%
–
8%
YouGov /USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute [ 65]
Feb 1–15, 2020
1,200 (RV)
± 3.1%
31%
57%
–
6%
SurveyUSA [ 66]
Jan 14–16, 2020
1,967 (RV)
± 2.8%
37%
53%
–
10%
CNN /SSRS[ 67]
Dec 4–8, 2019
1,011 (RV)
± 3.4%
36%
53%
4%[ u]
7%
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
34%
52%
–
14%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
32%
54%
–
13%
SurveyUSA [ 72]
Aug 1–5, 2019
2,184 (RV)
± 2.8%
30%
53%
–
17%
with Donald Trump and Tom Steyer
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Tom Steyer (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 64]
Feb 13–16, 2020
1,196 (RV)
± 3.1%
38%
54%
9%
SurveyUSA [ 66]
Jan 14–16, 2020
1,967 (RV)
± 2.8%
37%
53%
10%
with Donald Trump and Deval Patrick
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Deval Patrick (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
34%
34%
32%
with Donald Trump and Andrew Yang
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Andrew Yang (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 66]
Jan 14–16, 2020
1,967 (RV)
± 2.8%
37%
53%
10%
with Donald Trump and Cory Booker
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Cory Booker (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
39%
26%
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Kamala Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
35%
56%
8%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
57%
8%
Emerson College [ 70]
Sep 13–16, 2019
830 (RV)
± 3.3%
39%
61%
–
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
35%
53%
12%
SurveyUSA [ 72]
Aug 1–5, 2019
2,184 (RV)
± 2.7%
30%
59%
12%
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
54%
12%
SurveyUSA [ 74]
Jan 7–9, 2018
909 (RV)
± 3.3%
33%
53%
13%
with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
34%
51%
15%
with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
33%
47%
19%
SurveyUSA [ 74]
Jan 7–9, 2018
909 (RV)
± 3.3%
32%
46%
22%
with Donald Trump and Jerry Brown
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Jerry Brown (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
54%
11%
with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Sherrod Brown (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
36%
29%
with Donald Trump and Eric Garcetti
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Eric Garcetti (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
34%
49%
17%
SurveyUSA [ 74]
Jan 7–9, 2018
909 (RV)
± 3.3%
32%
46%
21%
with Donald Trump and Tom Hanks
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Tom Hanks (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
34%
51%
15%
SurveyUSA [ 74]
Jan 7–9, 2018
909 (RV)
± 3.3%
31%
56%
14%
with Donald Trump and Eric Holder
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Eric Holder (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
38%
26%
with Donald Trump and Mitch Landrieu
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Mitch Landrieu (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
36%
29%
with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Michelle Obama (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 72]
Aug 1–5, 2019
2,184 (RV)
± 2.7%
28%
64%
8%
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
36%
57%
8%
with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Oprah Winfrey (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 72]
Aug 1–5, 2019
2,184 (RV)
± 2.7%
28%
57%
14%
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
35%
52%
13%
SurveyUSA [ 74]
Jan 7–9, 2018
909 (RV)
± 3.3%
32%
56%
12%
with Donald Trump and Mark Zuckerberg
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Donald Trump (R)
Mark Zuckerberg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 73]
Mar 22–25, 2018
882 (RV)
± 3.8%
36%
42%
22%
SurveyUSA [ 74]
Jan 7–9, 2018
909 (RV)
± 3.3%
31%
50%
19%
with Mike Pence and Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Mike Pence (R)
Joe Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
29%
59%
12%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.8%
30%
58%
13%
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
27%
58%
15%
with Mike Pence and Michael Bloomberg
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Mike Pence (R)
Michael Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
32%
48%
20%
with Mike Pence and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Mike Pence (R)
Pete Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
34%
48%
17%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
34%
45%
21%
with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Mike Pence (R)
Bernie Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
31%
59%
9%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.8%
31%
58%
10%
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
31%
57%
13%
with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Mike Pence (R)
Elizabeth Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
34%
53%
13%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
33%
55%
12%
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785
± 3.2%
33%
50%
16%
with Nikki Haley and Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Nikki Haley (R)
Joe Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
21%
56%
23%
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
21%
56%
24%
with Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Nikki Haley (R)
Pete Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
24%
44%
32%
with Nikki Haley and Bernie Sanders
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Nikki Haley (R)
Bernie Sanders (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.8%
23%
58%
19%
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
24%
56%
19%
with Nikki Haley and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Nikki Haley (R)
Elizabeth Warren (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
23%
52%
24%
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
25%
49%
26%
with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Mike Pence (R)
Kamala Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 68]
Nov 20–22, 2019
2,039 (RV)
± 2.4%
34%
54%
12%
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
33%
55%
12%
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
34%
51%
15%
with Mike Pence and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Mike Pence (R)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
34%
47%
20%
with Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Nikki Haley (R)
Kamala Harris (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 69]
Oct 15–16, 2019
1,242 (RV)
± 3.9%
23%
52%
25%
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
24%
51%
25%
with Nikki Haley and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ f]
Marginof error
Nikki Haley (R)
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 71]
Sep 13–15, 2019
1,785 (RV)
± 3.2%
25%
44%
30%
Electors
Technically the voters of California cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to the Electoral College , rather than directly for president and vice president. California is allocated 55 electors because it has 53 congressional districts and 2 senators . All candidates who appear on the ballot must submit a list of 55 electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all 55 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector . In the state of Arizona, a faithless elector's vote is voided and replaced, but the faithless elector is not penalized.[ 75]
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2020, to cast their votes for president and vice president. All 55 pledged electors cast their votes for former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Kamala Harris from California. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead, the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The electoral vote was tabulated and certified by Congress in a joint session on January 6, 2021, per the Electoral Count Act .
These individuals were nominated by each party to serve as the state's members of the 2020 Electoral College should their party's ticket win the state:[ 76]
Results
Biden won California with a smaller margin of victory than Hillary Clinton in 2016. Nevertheless, he performed well in most urban areas of the state. Biden is also the first candidate for any statewide race in American history to receive over ten million votes.
Swing by census block group >50%
40–50%
30–40%
20–30%
15–20%
10–15%
5–10%
1–5%
1–5%
5–10%
10–15%
15–20%
20–30%
30–40%
40–50%
>50%
By county
County
Joe Biden Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Various candidates Other parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Alameda
617,659
79.83%
136,309
17.62%
19,785
2.55%
481,350
62.21%
773,753
Alpine
476
63.81%
244
32.71%
26
3.48%
232
31.10%
746
Amador
8,153
36.40%
13,585
60.66%
659
2.94%
-5,432
-24.26%
22,397
Butte
50,815
49.54%
48,819
47.60%
2,931
2.86%
1,996
1.94%
102,565
Calaveras
10,046
36.84%
16,518
60.57%
708
2.59%
-6,472
-23.73%
27,272
Colusa
3,239
40.69%
4,559
57.27%
163
2.04%
-1,320
-16.58%
7,961
Contra Costa
416,386
71.63%
152,877
26.30%
12,053
2.07%
263,509
45.33%
581,316
Del Norte
4,677
40.84%
6,461
56.41%
315
2.75%
-1,784
-15.57%
11,453
El Dorado
51,621
44.44%
61,838
53.24%
2,700
2.32%
-10,217
-8.80%
116,159
Fresno
193,025
52.90%
164,464
45.07%
7,428
2.03%
28,561
7.83%
364,917
Glenn
3,995
35.36%
7,063
62.52%
239
2.12%
-3,068
-27.16%
11,297
Humboldt
44,768
64.48%
21,770
31.36%
2,886
4.16%
22,998
33.12%
69,424
Imperial
34,678
61.11%
20,847
36.74%
1,218
2.15%
13,831
24.37%
56,743
Inyo
4,634
48.86%
4,620
48.71%
230
2.43%
14
0.15%
9,484
Kern
133,366
43.68%
164,484
53.88%
7,442
2.44%
-31,118
-10.20%
305,292
Kings
18,699
42.63%
24,072
54.88%
1,090
2.49%
-5,373
-12.25%
43,861
Lake
14,941
51.55%
13,123
45.27%
922
3.18%
1,818
6.28%
28,986
Lassen
2,799
23.24%
8,970
74.47%
276
2.29%
-6,171
-51.23%
12,045
Los Angeles
3,028,885
70.70%
1,145,530
26.74%
109,530
2.56%
1,883,355
43.96%
4,283,945
Madera
23,168
43.12%
29,378
54.68%
1,186
2.20%
-6,210
-11.56%
53,732
Marin
128,288
82.33%
24,612
15.79%
2,930
1.88%
103,676
66.54%
155,830
Mariposa
4,088
39.77%
5,950
57.88%
242
2.35%
-1,862
-18.11%
10,280
Mendocino
28,782
66.41%
13,267
30.61%
1,291
2.98%
15,515
35.80%
43,340
Merced
48,991
53.84%
39,397
43.30%
2,605
2.86%
9,594
10.54%
90,993
Modoc
1,150
26.33%
3,109
71.19%
108
2.48%
-1,959
-44.86%
4,367
Mono
4,013
59.56%
2,513
37.30%
212
3.14%
1,500
22.26%
6,738
Monterey
113,953
69.52%
46,299
28.24%
3,671
2.24%
67,654
41.28%
163,923
Napa
49,817
69.05%
20,676
28.66%
1,657
2.29%
29,141
40.39%
72,150
Nevada
36,359
55.76%
26,779
41.07%
2,064
3.17%
9,580
14.69%
65,202
Orange
814,009
53.48%
676,498
44.44%
31,606
2.08%
137,511
9.04%
1,522,113
Placer
106,869
45.46%
122,488
52.10%
5,727
2.44%
-15,619
-6.64%
235,084
Plumas
4,561
40.51%
6,445
57.24%
254
2.25%
-1,884
-16.73%
11,260
Riverside
528,340
52.98%
449,144
45.04%
19,672
1.98%
79,196
7.94%
997,156
Sacramento
440,808
61.36%
259,405
36.11%
18,227
2.53%
181,403
25.25%
718,440
San Benito
17,628
61.14%
10,590
36.73%
612
2.13%
7,038
24.41%
28,830
San Bernardino
455,859
54.20%
366,257
43.54%
19,014
2.26%
89,602
10.66%
841,130
San Diego
964,650
60.21%
600,094
37.46%
37,399
2.33%
364,556
22.75%
1,602,143
San Francisco
378,156
85.26%
56,417
12.72%
8,980
2.02%
321,739
72.54%
443,553
San Joaquin
161,137
55.61%
121,098
41.79%
7,546
2.60%
40,039
13.82%
289,781
San Luis Obispo
88,310
55.29%
67,436
42.22%
3,968
2.49%
20,874
13.07%
159,714
San Mateo
291,496
77.89%
75,584
20.20%
7,171
1.91%
215,912
57.69%
374,251
Santa Barbara
129,963
64.52%
65,736
32.63%
5,733
2.85%
64,227
31.89%
201,432
Santa Clara
617,967
72.64%
214,612
25.23%
18,162
2.13%
403,355
47.41%
850,741
Santa Cruz
114,246
78.44%
26,937
18.49%
4,466
3.07%
87,309
59.95%
145,649
Shasta
30,000
32.28%
60,789
65.41%
2,141
2.31%
-30,789
-33.13%
92,930
Sierra
730
37.49%
1,142
58.65%
75
3.86%
-412
-21.16%
1,947
Siskiyou
9,593
40.87%
13,290
56.62%
589
2.51%
-3,697
-15.75%
23,472
Solano
131,639
63.65%
69,306
33.51%
5,886
2.84%
62,333
30.14%
206,831
Sonoma
199,938
74.52%
61,825
23.04%
6,554
2.44%
138,113
51.48%
268,317
Stanislaus
105,841
49.00%
104,145
48.22%
6,001
2.78%
1,696
0.78%
215,987
Sutter
17,367
40.73%
24,375
57.16%
902
2.11%
-7,008
-16.43%
42,644
Tehama
8,911
31.02%
19,141
66.62%
679
2.36%
-10,230
-35.60%
28,731
Trinity
2,851
45.04%
3,188
50.36%
291
4.60%
-337
-5.32%
6,330
Tulare
66,105
45.00%
77,579
52.82%
3,201
2.18%
-11,474
-7.82%
146,885
Tuolumne
11,978
39.39%
17,689
58.17%
741
2.44%
-5,711
-18.78%
30,408
Ventura
251,388
59.45%
162,207
38.36%
9,230
2.19%
89,181
21.09%
422,825
Yolo
67,598
69.48%
27,292
28.05%
2,404
2.47%
40,306
41.43%
97,294
Yuba
11,230
37.69%
17,676
59.32%
890
2.99%
-6,446
-21.63%
29,796
Totals
11,110,639
63.37%
6,006,518
34.26%
414,688
2.37%
5,104,121
29.11%
17,531,845
Swing by county
Democratic — +12.5−15%
Democratic — +10−12.5%
Democratic — +7.5−10%
Democratic — +5−7.5%
Democratic — +2.5−5%
Democratic — +0−2.5%
Republican — +0−2.5%
Republican — +2.5−5%
Republican — +5−7.5%
Republican — +>15%
Trend by county
Democratic — +12.5−15%
Democratic — +10−12.5%
Democratic — +7.5−10%
Democratic — +5−7.5%
Democratic — +2.5−5%
Democratic — +0−2.5%
Republican — +0−2.5%
Republican — +2.5−5%
Republican — +5−7.5%
Republican — +>15%
County flips
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Biden won 46 of the 53 congressional districts in California, including four that were flipped or held by Republicans in Congress.[ 80]
Analysis
Joe Biden won California by a landslide margin of 29.2%. Despite Biden's overall victory closely mirroring Clinton's, under a point behind her margin, there were large swings underneath the statewide margins. Biden lost ground in large diverse counties while improving in mostly whiter and more suburban counties.[ 81] While Trump yet again lost Los Angeles County by a landslide and yet again received less than 30% of the vote in the county, he improved his standing in Los Angeles County , thanks to growth in mainly Latino neighborhoods in the Gateway Cities and the San Fernando Valley , alongside improvements in mainly Asian communities in the San Gabriel Valley . Trump also managed to gain in white neighborhoods as well, with visible gains made in Beverly Hills and other Westside communities, mainly because of the region's high Jewish population, Burbank and Glendale in the eastern San Fernando Valley, and the Valley's southern wealthy neighborhoods such as Encino and Tarzana .[ 82] [ 83] California is also one of the six states (along with Arkansas , Nevada , Utah , Florida , and Hawaii ) as well as the District of Columbia in which Trump's margin increased from 2016.
While Biden won Santa Clara County by a landslide margin of 47.4%, his margins shrank below that of Hillary Clinton's 2016 margin, 52.1%, in the county. His margins slightly shrank in the more suburban communities of Santa Clara and Sunnyvale , even improving in very wealthy cities like Los Altos Hills and Saratoga , but his margins fell in the heavily Asian parts of San Jose , and Milpitas , which Biden won by a landslide, as Trump's comparison of Biden's proposed policies to socialism and communism drove Vietnamese American voters towards him. The issue over China in the South China Sea helped swing Vietnamese Americans, as well as Filipino American voters to the Republican Party. Nonetheless, Trump still received a small 25% of the vote in Santa Clara County, underperforming President Bush in 2004, John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012.[ 84] Trump also gained in Alameda and San Francisco County , but his improvements were smaller than Santa Clara County and Los Angeles County .[ 81] Meanwhile, Biden gained in the more white and suburban San Diego County and Riverside County .[ 85] In the former, Biden's improvements in wealthy suburban areas, like Carlsbad and Encinitas , alongside gains in more working-class Escondido and Oceanside ,[ 86] helped overcome Trump's growth in the more Hispanic neighborhoods in southern San Diego County. In Riverside County , Trump lost ground in whiter more Republican territory in the southern part of the county like Menifee and Temecula , and in very liberal communities like Palm Springs in the Coachella Valley , which overcame Biden's decline in Hispanic communities towards the county's northwest, including Moreno Valley and Perris .[ 83] Trump also gained grounds in certain areas like West Covina and Carson .[ 83]
Outside the large population centers and the Inland Empire , both parties largely ran in line with their 2016 performances. In the Central Valley , Biden's margin was roughly unchanged, though he lost some support in the northern counties like Merced and Stanislaus while gaining in the more Republican southern counties around Kern (Bakersfield) .[ 87] Biden improved by a point in Sacramento County but saw visible growth in suburban Placer County . However, Trump overwhelmingly outperformed his 2016 performance in rural and heavily Hispanic Imperial County , gaining 17 points. Biden's margin was higher than John Kerry's or Al Gore's in Imperial County, but underperformed Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton.[ 87]
Edison exit polls
2020 presidential election in California by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[ 88] [ 89]
Demographic subgroup
Biden
Trump
% of
total vote
Total vote
63.48
29.32
100
Ideology
Liberals
90
9
29
Moderates
80
28
41
Conservatives
28
70
30
Party
Democrats
97
2
50
Republicans
10
89
30
Independents
57
35
20
Gender
Men
63
34
47
Women
63
35
53
Race/ethnicity
White
51
47
49
Black
82
15
9
Latino
75
23
31
Asian
76
22
6
Other
59
35
5
Age
18–24 years old
73
27
9
25–29 years old
78
21
5
30–39 years old
63
32
20
40–49 years old
58
41
17
50–64 years old
62
36
31
65 and older
61
37
19
Sexual orientation
LGBT
–
–
7
Not LGBT
62
37
93
Education
High school or less
54
45
14
Some college education
59
37
26
Associate degree
63
36
16
Bachelor's degree
65
34
29
Postgraduate degree
74
24
15
Income
Under $50,000
61
37
36
$50,000–$99,999
61
37
36
Over $100,000
65
34
29
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality
93
6
18
Coronavirus
90
9
23
Economy
27
72
21
Crime and safety
–
–
17
Health care
–
–
17
Region
Coastal
65
34
10
Inland
52
45
30
Bay Area
75
23
18
Los Angeles County
71
27
24
Southern coast
58
39
18
Area type
Urban
68
30
43
Suburban
60
37
52
Rural
–
–
5
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago
43
55
37
Worse than four years ago
80
14
25
About the same
67
31
38
See also
Notes
^ The other five states were Arkansas , Florida , Hawaii , Nevada , and Utah , as well as Washington DC .
^ a b c Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary, when all-mail voting had already begun.
^ a b c Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when all-mail voting had already begun.
^ Including 34 write-in votes
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ a b Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
^ "Someone else" with 4%
^ a b De La Fuente (A) and De La Riva (PSOL) with 0%
^ a b De La Fuente listed as Guerra
^ a b Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with no voters
^ "Another candidate" with 3%
^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
^ Archived September 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ "Someone else" with 3%
^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 2%
^ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
^ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
^ a b c d Other with 0%; neither with 3%
^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 3%
^ a b c Other with 1%; neither with 3%
^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
^ "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 4%
^ a b c Other with 0%; neither with 4%
^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
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Further reading
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