2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah
2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah
Majority party
Minority party
Party
Republican
Democratic
Last election
3
1
Seats won
4
0
Seat change
1
1
Popular vote
873,347
505,946
Percentage
60.98%
35.33%
Swing
2.33%
0.21%
Election results by district Election results by county
Republican
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
>90%
Democratic
40–50%
50–60%
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Utah , one from each of the state's four congressional districts . The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election , as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections .
Overview
Registered voters: 1,682,512. Turnout: 1,515,845 (90.09%)[ 1]
Popular vote
Republican
60.98%
Democratic
35.33%
Other
3.7%
House seats
Republican
100%
By district
District 1
2020 Utah's 1st congressional district election
County resultsMoore: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%Parry: 50–60%
The 1st district is located in northern Utah, including the cities of Ogden , Logan , Park City , Layton , Clearfield , and the northern half of the Great Salt Lake . The incumbent is Republican Rob Bishop , who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2018,[ 2] and announced in August 2017 that this term would be his final term.[ 3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Tina Cannon , Morgan County councilwoman[ 4]
J.C. DeYoung[ 5]
Doug Durbano, businessman and lawyer[ 6]
Chadwick Fairbanks, property manager[ 7]
Kerry Gibson, Utah Commissioner of Agriculture and Food and former Weber County commissioner[ 8]
Catherine Brenchley Hammon[ 9]
Zach Hartman, real estate investment advisor[ 5]
Blake Moore , former U.S. foreign service officer[ 10]
Mark Shepherd, mayor of Clearfield [ 11]
Bob Stevenson, Davis County commissioner[ 12]
Howard Wallack, retired business executive[ 7]
Katie Witt, mayor of Kaysville and former Longmont city councilwoman[ 13]
Declined
Endorsements
Convention results
Republican convention results[ 18]
Candidate
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4
Round 5
Round 6
Round 7
Round 8
Round 9
Round 10
Round 11
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Votes
%
Kerry Gibson
248
25.7%
248
25.7%
248
25.7%
252
26.2%
253
26.3%
260
27.0%
269
28.1%
292
30.7%
329
34.9%
404
43.4%
514
57.0%
Blake Moore
166
17.2%
166
17.2%
166
17.2%
166
17.2%
167
17.4%
176
18.3%
182
19.0%
200
21.0%
221
23.4%
270
29.0%
388
43.0%
Tina Cannon
136
14.1%
136
14.1%
137
14.2%
138
14.3%
140
14.6%
150
15.6%
160
16.7%
174
18.3%
215
22.8%
256
27.5%
Eliminated
Doug Durbano
130
13.5%
130
13.5%
131
13.6%
132
13.7%
139
14.4%
142
14.8%
143
14.9%
151
15.9%
179
19.0%
Eliminated
Howard Wallack
106
11.0%
106
11.0%
106
11.0%
107
11.1%
108
11.2%
117
12.2%
126
13.2%
135
14.2%
Eliminated
Bob Stevenson
61
6.3%
61
6.3%
61
6.3%
62
6.4%
62
6.4%
67
7.0%
77
8.0%
Eliminated
Mark Shepherd
45
4.7%
45
4.7%
45
4.7%
46
4.8%
47
4.9%
50
5.2%
Eliminated
Katie Witt
46
4.8%
46
4.8%
46
4.8%
46
4.8%
46
4.8%
Eliminated
Chadwick Fairbanks
14
1.5%
14
1.5%
14
1.5%
14
1.5%
Eliminated
Zach Hartman
10
1.0%
10
1.0%
10
1.0%
Eliminated
JC DeYoung
2
0.2%
2
0.2%
Eliminated
Catherine Hammon
0
0.0%
Eliminated
Inactive Ballots
0 ballots
0 ballots
0 ballots
1 ballots
2 ballots
2 ballots
7 ballots
12 ballots
20 ballots
34 ballots
62 ballots
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Tina Cannon
Douglas Durbano
Kerry Gibson
Catherine Hammon
Blake Moore
Mark Shepherd
Bob Stevenson
Katie Witt
Other
Undecided
Global Strategy Group [ 19]
June 18–20, 2020
834 (LV)
± 3.7%
–
–
15%
–
25%
–
23%
12%
–
25%
Dan Jones & Associates [ 20]
June 2–9, 2020
417 (LV)
± 5%
–
–
13%
–
16%
–
16%
7%
–
48%
Y2 Analytics [ 21]
May 16–18, 2020
127 (LV)
± 8.7%
–
–
20%
–
16%
–
38%
26%
–
–
Y2 Analytics [ 22]
March 21–30, 2020
103 (LV)
± 9.7%
8%
11%
7%
12%
6%
13%
25%
17%
> 1%[ b]
–
Debate
2020 Utah's 1st congressional district republican primary debate
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Kerry Gibson
Blake Moore
Bob Stevenson
Katie Witt
1
Jun. 2, 2020
Utah Debate Commission
Rod Arquette
[ 23]
P
P
P
P
Primary results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Jamie Cheek, college debate coach and rehabilitation counselor[ 25]
Darren Parry, chairman of the Northwestern Band of the Shoshone Nation [ 26]
Convention results
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jamie Cheek
Darren Parry
Y2 Analytics [ 22]
March 21–30, 2020
29 (LV)
± 18.2%
42%
58%
Debate
2020 Utah's 1st congressional district democratic primary debate
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Democratic
Democratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Jamie Cheek
Darren Parry
1
Jun. 1, 2020
Utah Debate Commission
Rod Arquette
[ 28]
P
P
Primary results
General election
Debate
2020 Utah's 1st congressional district debate
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Republican
Democratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Blake Moore
Darren Parry
1
Sep. 24, 2020
Utah Debate Commission
Rod Arquette
[ 29]
P
P
Predictions
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Blake Moore (R)
Darren Parry (D)
Other
Undecided
Lighthouse Research [ 37]
August 31 – September 12, 2020
500 (RV)
± 4.38%
49%
22%
1%[ c]
28%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Results
District 2
2020 Utah's 2nd congressional district election
County resultsStewart: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%Weston: 60–70%
The 2nd district encompasses both Salt Lake City and the rural western and southern parts of the state. The incumbent is Republican Chris Stewart , who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2018.[ 2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Eliminated at convention
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Mark Burkett
Ty Jensen
Carson Jorgensen
Chris Stewart
Y2 Analytics [ 46]
March 21–30, 2020
175 (LV)
–
17%
6%
4%
73%
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Eliminated at convention
Randy Hopkins, retired Utah Department of Workforce Services regional director and candidate for this district in 2018 [ 49]
Larry Livingston, former IRS agent[ 50]
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Randy Hopkins
Larry Livingston
Kael Weston
Y2 Analytics [ 51]
March 21–30, 2020
59 (LV)
–
41%
19%
40%
General election
Debate
Predictions
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Chris Stewart (R)
Kael Weston (D)
Rob Latham (L)
Other
Undecided
Lighthouse Research [ 37]
August 31 – September 12, 2020
500 (RV)
± 4.38%
48%
28%
7%
0%
17%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Results
District 3
2020 Utah's 3rd congressional district election
County resultsCurtis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Thorpe:
40–50%
The 3rd district includes rural southeastern Utah, stretches into the Provo -Orem metro area, and takes in the southeastern Salt Lake City suburbs of Holladay , Cottonwood Heights , Sandy , and Draper . The incumbent is Republican John Curtis , who was re-elected with 67.5% of the vote in 2018.[ 2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Tim Alders
John Curtis
Y2 Analytics [ 46]
March 21–30, 2020
184 (LV)
–
22%
78%
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Devin D. Thorpe, nonprofit founder[ 55]
Eliminated at convention
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Jared Anderson
Tray Robinson
Devin Thorpe
Y2 Analytics [ 51]
March 21–30, 2020
37 (LV)
–
37%
21%
42%
Independents
Candidates
Withdrew
Russel Fugal, former Utah Republican Party delegate[ 57]
General election
Debate
2020 Utah's 3rd congressional district debate
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Republican
Democratic
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
John Curtis
Devin Thorpe
1
Oct. 15, 2020
Utah Debate Commission
David Magleby
[ 58]
P
P
Predictions
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
John Curtis (R)
Devin Thorpe (D)
Other
Undecided
Lighthouse Research [ 37]
August 31 – September 12, 2020
500 (RV)
± 4.38%
51%
20%
5%[ l]
24%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Generic Republican
Generic Democrat
Other
Undecided
Y2 Analytics [ 51]
March 21–30, 2020
354 (LV)
–
46%
29%
4%[ m]
21%
Y2 Analytics [ 59]
January 16–30, 2020
570 (LV)
± (4% – 4.2%)
48%
23%
8%[ n]
21%
Y2 Analytics [ 53]
September 25 – October 8, 2019
227 (LV)
–
46%
22%
16%[ o]
16%
Y2 Analytics [ 54]
June 27 – July 17, 2019
568 (LV)
–
43%
21%
14%[ p]
22%
Results
District 4
2020 Utah's 4th congressional district election
County resultsOwens: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%McAdams: 50–60%
The 4th district is based in southwest Salt Lake County , taking in parts of West Valley City and Salt Lake City , as well as South Salt Lake , Taylorsville , Murray , West Jordan , Midvale , South Jordan , Riverton , Herriman , and Bluffdale . The district also stretches south into eastern Utah County , western Juab County , and northern Sanpete County . The incumbent is Democrat Ben McAdams , who flipped the district and was elected with 50.1% of the vote in 2018.[ 2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Defeated at convention
Daniel Beckstrand, dental office manager[ 60]
Endorsements
Polling
Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Daniel Beckstrand
Ben McAdams
Undecided
Y2 Analytics [ 51]
March 21–30, 2020
98 (LV)
± 9.9%
3%
97%
–
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Withdrawn
Declined
Endorsements
Kim Coleman
State officials
Organizations
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Kathleen Anderson
Chris Biesinger
Trent Christensen
Kim Coleman
Jay McFarland
Burgess Owens
Cindy Thompson
Undecided
Y2 Analytics [ 81]
May 16–18, 2020
148 (LV)
± 8.1%
–
–
13%
23%
28%
36%
–
–
Hinckley Institute [ 82]
April 19–24, 2020
352 (LV)
± 5.2%
6%
3%
4%
4%
8%
6%
2%
67%
Y2 Analytics [ 51]
March 21–30, 2020
112 (LV)
± 9.3%
17%
6%
6%
17%
31%
22%
1%
Hypothetical polling
with Dan Hemmert, and Jefferson Moss
Convention results
Debate
Primary results
United Utah Party
Candidates
Declared
Jonia Broderick, author[ 87]
General election
Debate
2020 Utah's 4th congressional district debate
No.
Date
Host
Moderator
Link
Democratic
Republican
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
Ben McAdams
Burgess Owens
1
Oct. 12, 2020
Utah Debate Commission
Doug Wilks
[ 88]
P
P
Endorsements
Ben McAdams (D)
Individuals
Unions
Organizations
Predictions
Polling
Hypothetical polling
With Jay McFarland
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Ben McAdams (D)
Jay McFarland (R)
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R) [ 83]
October 5–6, 2019
819 (LV)
± 3.4%
45%
40%
15%
with Generic Republican
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Margin of error
Ben McAdams (D)
Generic Republican
Other
Undecided
Hinckley Institute [ 82]
April 19–24, 2020
1000 (RV)
± 3.1%
36%
34%
9%[ aa]
22%
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Results
Notes
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ JC DeYoung with 1%; Chadwick Fairbanks and Zach Hartman with < 1%
^ "Other" with 1%
^ a b "Someone else" with 4%; "other" with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 9%; "other" with 3%
^ "Third party candidate" with 15%; "other" with 2%
^ "Third party candidate" with 11%; "other" with 3%
^ "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 4%
^ "Third party candidate" with 5%; "other" with 2%
^ "Third party candidate" with 7%; "other" with 5%
^ McNeill (UUP) with 3%; Cummings (C) with 2%; "Other" with 0%
^ "Someone else" and "other" with 2%
^ "Someone else" with 5%; "other" with 3%
^ "Third party candidate" with 10%; "other" with 6%
^ "Third party candidate" with 10%; "other" with 4%
^ Not yet released
^ "Someone else" with 7%; Burgess Owens with 2%
^ Standard VI response
^ Molnar (L) with 3%; Broderick (UUP) with 1%
^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
^ Molnar (L) with 2%; Broderick (UUP) with 1%
^ Molnar (L) with 2%; Broderick (UUP) and "Other" with 0%
^ John Molnar (L) with 4%; Jonia Broderick (United Utah Party) with 2%
^ John Molnar (L) with 5%; Jonia Broderick (United Utah Party) with <0.5%
^ "Someone else" with 9%
^ "Someone else" with 7%; "other" with 5%
^ "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 3%
^ "Third party candidate" with 6%; "other" with 3%
Partisan clients
^ Poll sponsored by Kathleen Anderson campaign.
^ This poll's sponsor is a PAC which supports exclusively Republican Congressional candidates
References
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^ a b c d Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker" . Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019 .
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^ Dan Jones & Associates Archived June 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
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^ a b Y2 Analytics
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^ YouTube
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^ a b Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2
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^ a b Y2 Analytics
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^ a b Hinckley Institute
^ a b Remington Research Group (R)
^ Echleon Insights (R)
^ "US House of Representatives-District 4 Ranked Choice Voting Election Results Visualization" . rcvis.com . RCVIS. August 24, 2020.
^ YouTube
^ Rodgers, Bethany (July 30, 2019). "United Utah Party candidate eyes Ben McAdams' seat" . The Salt Lake Tribune . Retrieved August 1, 2019 .
^ YouTube
^ "Former presidential candidate Evan McMullin endorses Rep. Ben McAdams in Utah race" . Deseret News . October 26, 2020.
^ RMG Research
^ RMG Research
^ RMG Research
^ Moore Information (R)
External links
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Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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